{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d63208db-52b6-4aac-95f7-fe1b22322d07",
    "symbol": "HFIN",
    "name": "Hamilton Enhanced Canadian Financials ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 66.43,
    "architecture_energy": 66.467,
    "architecture_maturity": 92.515,
    "architecture_confidence": 84.132,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 11.51,
        "rotation_up": 56.67,
        "upward_expansion": 85.33,
        "deceleration": 68.5,
        "rotation_down": 28.51,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        33.321155,
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        31.647651,
        30.280834
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 33.240002,
    "trend_reference": 28.647558,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.160308,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 19.427953,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.710937,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 11.87413,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.284487,
    "excess_performance": 0.164065,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.160308,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.094476,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.710937,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.098448,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.118741,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.044157,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.284487,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.613122,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 11800,
      "relative_activity": 0.676606,
      "balance": 1.613122,
      "dry_up": 0.997706,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.027838,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.165532,
      "from_high_reference": -0.025296,
      "from_low_reference": 0.597968
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 28.647558,
      "fair_value_reference": 19.427953,
      "structural_low": 24.359021,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 31,
        "median_return": 0.030894,
        "positive_rate": 0.709677,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.709677,
        "median_excess_return": 0.008989,
        "regime_survival": 0.83871,
        "best_return": 0.09136,
        "worst_return": -0.065401,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": 0.120872,
        "positive_rate": 0.636364,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.636364,
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        "regime_survival": 0.909091,
        "best_return": 0.265139,
        "worst_return": -0.04361,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.176983,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.069719,
        "regime_survival": 0.833333,
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        "worst_return": 0.086889,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.439408,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.223784,
        "regime_survival": 1.0,
        "best_return": 0.600275,
        "worst_return": 0.203301,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "end": "2024-04-26",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "tenure": "New",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "relative_strength": 15.890738,
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        "direction": 86.374663,
        "energy": 94.595327,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 4000,
        "typical_volume": 21315.0,
        "trend": 27.41567,
        "fair_value": 18.743247,
        "relative_strength": 17.019031,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 87.341166,
        "energy": 95.200067,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 22580.0,
        "trend": 27.676035,
        "fair_value": 18.881916,
        "relative_strength": 17.415497,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.092525,
        "energy": 94.176948,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.745024,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 17500,
        "typical_volume": 20700.0,
        "trend": 27.941885,
        "fair_value": 19.021049,
        "relative_strength": 18.7291,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.554312,
        "energy": 94.748553,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.206307,
          32.25669,
          30.533661,
          29.303011
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 33.105228,
        "volume": 20000,
        "typical_volume": 19040.0,
        "trend": 28.177592,
        "fair_value": 19.15552,
        "relative_strength": 15.533175,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.47447,
        "energy": 86.154162,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.266529,
          32.571498,
          30.932053,
          29.63613
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 33.349998,
        "volume": 20300,
        "typical_volume": 18695.0,
        "trend": 28.419497,
        "fair_value": 19.292173,
        "relative_strength": 16.375154,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.289591,
        "energy": 67.974266,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.346411,
          32.848784,
          31.315742,
          29.969833
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 33.240002,
        "volume": 11800,
        "typical_volume": 17440.0,
        "trend": 28.647558,
        "fair_value": 19.427953,
        "relative_strength": 11.87413,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.430077,
        "energy": 66.466539,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.321155,
          33.041477,
          31.647651,
          30.280834
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}