{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d642eaca-3157-46d4-820b-1b4ea90824da", "symbol": "PCLA", "name": "PicoCELA Inc. American Depositary Shares", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Neutral compression", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 57.548, "architecture_energy": 27.381, "architecture_maturity": 27.301, "architecture_confidence": 49.15, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 55.91, "rotation_up": 39.62, "upward_expansion": 68.39, "deceleration": 66.44, "rotation_down": 19.9, "downward_expansion": 2.06 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.045333, 5.766545, 5.267822, 4.73115 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 8.11, "trend_reference": 4.450107, "distance_from_trend": 0.822428, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 27.143078, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.701213, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -6.270376, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.612326, "excess_performance": 0.424872, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.822428, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.181891, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.701213, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.242667, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.062704, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.838197, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.612326, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 12.239636, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 911373, "relative_activity": 0.174875, "balance": 12.239636, "dry_up": 0.228325, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.429667, "annualized_volatility": 2.695911, "from_high_reference": -0.517262, "from_low_reference": 5.007407 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.450107, "fair_value_reference": 27.143078, "structural_low": 1.35, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, 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null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 4.75, "volume": 2396261, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.41, "volume": 359420, "typical_volume": 5117453.1, "trend": 4.592607, "fair_value": 27.658904, "relative_strength": -36.65069, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Neutral compression", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 5.365268, "energy": 5.994115, "activity_lines": [ 5.226667, 5.539455, 4.805123, 4.474368 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.91, "volume": 1092679, "typical_volume": 5168998.95, "trend": 4.447273, "fair_value": 27.378054, "relative_strength": -41.38039, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Neutral compression", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.438341, "energy": 14.707739, "activity_lines": [ 5.034, 5.346545, 4.890425, 4.494845 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.11, "volume": 911373, "typical_volume": 5211582.3, "trend": 4.450107, "fair_value": 27.143078, "relative_strength": -6.270376, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Neutral compression", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.548195, "energy": 27.380824, "activity_lines": [ 6.045333, 5.766545, 5.267822, 4.73115 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }