{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d643d8fb-e712-42dc-9009-0a885e73d1da",
    "symbol": "IYH",
    "name": "ISHARES TRUST U.S. HEALTHCARE ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 88.679,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 76.353,
    "architecture_energy": 58.089,
    "architecture_maturity": 14.592,
    "architecture_confidence": 71.09,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 11.63,
        "rotation_up": 72.73,
        "upward_expansion": 86.29,
        "deceleration": 52.42,
        "rotation_down": 15.64,
        "downward_expansion": 8.29
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        68.805333,
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        65.871465,
        64.904662
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 70.0,
    "trend_reference": 64.270811,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.089141,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 59.496043,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.176549,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -0.84116,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.068903,
    "excess_performance": -0.056722,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.089141,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.013999,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.176549,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.145736,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.008412,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.101637,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.068903,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.908677,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 6759645,
      "relative_activity": 1.830185,
      "balance": 3.908677,
      "dry_up": 1.213567,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.036684,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.17483,
      "from_high_reference": -0.01102,
      "from_low_reference": 0.294151
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 64.270811,
      "fair_value_reference": 59.496043,
      "structural_low": 59.478229,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 27,
        "median_return": 0.00999,
        "positive_rate": 0.518519,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.518519,
        "median_excess_return": -0.000763,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.054823,
        "worst_return": -0.098628,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
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        "worst_return": -0.091898,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "worst_return": -0.050372,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.041903,
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "regime": "balance",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "relative_strength": 2.060823,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
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        "relative_strength": -1.217512,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "stage": 2,
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        "direction": 67.015111,
        "energy": 80.13126,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 3586956.2,
        "trend": 64.024,
        "fair_value": 59.303671,
        "relative_strength": 1.570506,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.246358,
        "energy": 78.945158,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 68.34,
        "volume": 4522742,
        "typical_volume": 3609926.9,
        "trend": 64.135649,
        "fair_value": 59.398419,
        "relative_strength": 0.304779,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.423543,
        "energy": 60.867027,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 70.0,
        "volume": 6759645,
        "typical_volume": 3693422.0,
        "trend": 64.270811,
        "fair_value": 59.496043,
        "relative_strength": -0.84116,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.352995,
        "energy": 58.088721,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}