{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d646a134-805b-4ffe-992b-ca88d5f59981",
    "symbol": "QDVX",
    "name": "iShares MSCI Europe Quality Dividend Advanced UCITS ETF EUR (Dist)",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 89.152,
    "architecture_energy": 88.785,
    "architecture_maturity": 37.239,
    "architecture_confidence": 75.067,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 0.17,
        "rotation_up": 80.99,
        "upward_expansion": 97.13,
        "deceleration": 41.19,
        "rotation_down": 15.06,
        "downward_expansion": 19.13
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        7.244067,
        7.169182,
        7.001388,
        6.885709
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 7.368,
    "trend_reference": 6.756614,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.090487,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 6.024108,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.223086,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 3.867976,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.114988,
    "excess_performance": 0.050348,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.090487,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.037469,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.223086,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.085977,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.03868,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.006507,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.114988,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.823317,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 481293,
      "relative_activity": 0.717546,
      "balance": 0.823317,
      "dry_up": 0.675127,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.01732,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.130937,
      "from_high_reference": -0.002572,
      "from_low_reference": 0.216691
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 6.756614,
      "fair_value_reference": 6.024108,
      "structural_low": 6.149166,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 38,
        "median_return": 0.00518,
        "positive_rate": 0.631579,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.631579,
        "median_excess_return": -0.002659,
        "regime_survival": 0.710526,
        "best_return": 0.076548,
        "worst_return": -0.074673,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 15,
        "median_return": 0.02107,
        "positive_rate": 0.733333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.733333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.000666,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
        "best_return": 0.086446,
        "worst_return": -0.033611,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.043889,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": 0.025677,
        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
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        "worst_return": -0.022928,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.061647,
        "sufficient": false
      }
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        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-05-10",
        "tenure": "New",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "end": "2025-05-02",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 751542.5,
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        "relative_strength": 6.439774,
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        "direction": 73.801719,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "volume": 296009,
        "typical_volume": 695975.1,
        "trend": 6.727119,
        "fair_value": 6.00898,
        "relative_strength": 4.605241,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.605272,
        "energy": 83.258162,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 7.368,
        "volume": 481293,
        "typical_volume": 670748.25,
        "trend": 6.756614,
        "fair_value": 6.024108,
        "relative_strength": 3.867976,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 89.152346,
        "energy": 88.784527,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}