{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d64de93c-cffe-49a5-ba41-67e1cd61a691", "symbol": "DOEN", "name": "Dominion Energy, Inc.", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 80.881, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 52.135, "architecture_energy": 46.914, "architecture_maturity": 72.654, "architecture_confidence": 52.08, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.62, "rotation_up": 48.62, "upward_expansion": 71.17, "deceleration": 62.62, "rotation_down": 26.38, "downward_expansion": 18.84 }, "activity_lines": [ 60.517333, 60.712, 58.921794, 57.436865 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 57.98, "trend_reference": 55.509901, "distance_from_trend": 0.044498, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 46.687042, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.241886, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -10.677849, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.137305, "excess_performance": -0.036942, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.044498, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.067113, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.241886, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.097198, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.106778, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.019353, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.137305, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.957821, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 261, "relative_activity": 4.685817, "balance": 0.957821, "dry_up": 1.283662, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.036964, "annualized_volatility": 0.25329, "from_high_reference": -0.095194, "from_low_reference": 0.23048 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 55.509901, "fair_value_reference": 46.687042, "structural_low": 50.656706, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": 0.012352, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.013905, "regime_survival": 0.733333, "best_return": 0.10658, "worst_return": -0.131658, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.077383, "positive_rate": 0.818182, "directional_follow_through": 0.818182, "median_excess_return": 0.014053, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.129522, "worst_return": -0.159249, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.093859, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.04451, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.207901, "worst_return": -0.305558, "sufficient": 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"activity_lines": [ 59.478666, 57.814657, 55.902633, 54.737831 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 61.200001, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 27.2, "trend": 53.501793, "fair_value": 46.01183, "relative_strength": -5.588514, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.479505, "energy": 91.471822, "activity_lines": [ 60.253333, 58.700285, 56.504007, 55.2597 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 61.060001, "volume": 284, "typical_volume": 41.4, "trend": 53.904486, "fair_value": 46.14634, "relative_strength": -4.447846, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.755029, "energy": 88.748497, "activity_lines": [ 60.712, 59.409556, 57.06123, 55.747326 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 63.32, "volume": 1, "typical_volume": 41.45, "trend": 54.337287, "fair_value": 46.288079, "relative_strength": 1.088212, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.782345, "energy": 93.486629, "activity_lines": [ 61.730667, 60.395758, 57.802935, 56.354779 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 62.48, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 41.45, "trend": 54.822127, "fair_value": 46.422825, "relative_strength": -1.525391, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.341204, "energy": 83.310817, "activity_lines": [ 62.146667, 61.016782, 58.414083, 56.880115 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 60.68, "volume": 24, "typical_volume": 42.65, "trend": 55.208248, "fair_value": 46.563792, "relative_strength": -4.070602, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.53574, "energy": 64.491892, "activity_lines": [ 61.773334, 61.136, 58.810114, 57.258042 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 57.98, "volume": 261, "typical_volume": 55.7, "trend": 55.509901, "fair_value": 46.687042, "relative_strength": -10.677849, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.134879, "energy": 46.914246, "activity_lines": [ 60.517333, 60.712, 58.921794, 57.436865 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }