{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d656db10-e386-4415-a5b8-094ccfd7547e", "symbol": "5508", "name": "Yungshin Construction & Development Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 54.229, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 7.047, "architecture_energy": 6.852, "architecture_maturity": 19.633, "architecture_confidence": 38.074, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 58.92, "rotation_up": 29.54, "upward_expansion": 25.38, "deceleration": 60.28, "rotation_down": 33.83, "downward_expansion": 29.71 }, "activity_lines": [ 52.203736, 52.691731, 51.502561, 51.045571 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 52.799999, "trend_reference": 51.410365, "distance_from_trend": 0.02703, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 100.79636, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.476172, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -39.891748, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.054402, "excess_performance": -0.495774, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.02703, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.079341, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.476172, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.075214, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.398917, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.199943, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.054402, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.229276, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1202062, "relative_activity": 0.333323, "balance": 2.229276, "dry_up": 0.571506, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.090677, "annualized_volatility": 0.436358, "from_high_reference": -0.507117, "from_low_reference": 0.224082 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 51.410365, "fair_value_reference": 100.79636, "structural_low": 43.134366, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.012841, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.058989, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.012841, "worst_return": 0.012841, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.072231, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.011582, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.072231, "worst_return": -0.072231, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.072231, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.084706, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.072231, "worst_return": -0.072231, "sufficient": false }, { 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balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 3.83829, "energy": 9.7089, "activity_lines": [ 52.593421, 52.848599, 50.882389, 50.995401 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 50.200001, "volume": 2503487, "typical_volume": 4031127.05, "trend": 51.817065, "fair_value": 100.885927, "relative_strength": -41.584357, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 1.926466, "energy": 5.677846, "activity_lines": [ 51.756155, 52.554164, 50.901571, 50.859174 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 53.5, "volume": 1595568, "typical_volume": 3719213.95, "trend": 51.593782, "fair_value": 100.845175, "relative_strength": -38.080879, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 10.009548, "energy": 9.884411, "activity_lines": [ 52.05977, 52.776938, 51.238862, 50.967751 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 52.799999, "volume": 1202062, "typical_volume": 3606295.8, "trend": 51.410365, "fair_value": 100.79636, "relative_strength": -39.891748, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 7.046932, "energy": 6.851916, "activity_lines": [ 52.203736, 52.691731, 51.502561, 51.045571 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }