{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d65ca81f-b0bd-4a85-afc9-4eb1d5e5a8bf",
    "symbol": "LDB",
    "name": "Lindbergh S.p.A.",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 94.507,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 44.563,
    "architecture_energy": 36.279,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 84.08,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 27.74,
        "rotation_up": 32.22,
        "upward_expansion": 67.49,
        "deceleration": 88.25,
        "rotation_down": 27.92,
        "downward_expansion": 19.83
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        13.08,
        13.328182,
        12.722619,
        11.828796
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 12.95,
    "trend_reference": 10.616,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.219857,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 5.122564,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 1.528031,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 28.028801,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.699475,
    "excess_performance": 0.528583,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.219857,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.211043,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.528031,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.323997,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.280288,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.351589,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.699475,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.154783,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 27500,
      "relative_activity": 0.915903,
      "balance": 0.154783,
      "dry_up": 0.843047,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.067716,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.340061,
      "from_high_reference": -0.142384,
      "from_low_reference": 2.2375
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 10.616,
      "fair_value_reference": 5.122564,
      "structural_low": 7.62,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 28,
        "median_return": 0.031282,
        "positive_rate": 0.642857,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.642857,
        "median_excess_return": 0.038968,
        "regime_survival": 0.857143,
        "best_return": 0.281385,
        "worst_return": -0.121622,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.049869,
        "positive_rate": 0.777778,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.777778,
        "median_excess_return": 0.027136,
        "regime_survival": 0.555556,
        "best_return": 0.751724,
        "worst_return": -0.1,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.076923,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.001793,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.83908,
        "worst_return": -0.041463,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.484239,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.297693,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.865385,
        "worst_return": 0.103093,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-06-30",
        "end": "2023-08-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.057692,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2023-08-11",
        "end": "2023-12-29",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "return": 0.636364,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-07-26",
        "end": "2024-08-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.049451,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.025281,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-06-27",
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        "active": false
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        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "fair_value": 4.225064,
        "relative_strength": 63.187653,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.085922,
        "energy": 94.309024,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.471333,
          10.440364,
          9.398762,
          8.89828
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 11.9,
        "volume": 11000,
        "typical_volume": 35275.0,
        "trend": 8.476333,
        "fair_value": 4.288558,
        "relative_strength": 58.518787,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.967225,
        "energy": 88.751859,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.753333,
          10.845273,
          9.699381,
          9.131204
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 11.55,
        "volume": 4500,
        "typical_volume": 34400.0,
        "trend": 8.636,
        "fair_value": 4.349872,
        "relative_strength": 49.835731,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.071365,
        "energy": 67.82159,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.766667,
          11.121091,
          9.945619,
          9.329505
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 11.4,
        "volume": 30000,
        "typical_volume": 33875.0,
        "trend": 8.766,
        "fair_value": 4.409231,
        "relative_strength": 43.773244,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.717236,
        "energy": 65.100091,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.656667,
          11.303636,
          10.158762,
          9.507828
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 11.55,
        "volume": 1500,
        "typical_volume": 32900.0,
        "trend": 8.897667,
        "fair_value": 4.470385,
        "relative_strength": 43.533164,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.867313,
        "energy": 60.4827,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.59,
          11.453818,
          10.369333,
          9.687441
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 11.5,
        "volume": 3250,
        "typical_volume": 32137.5,
        "trend": 9.027667,
        "fair_value": 4.531378,
        "relative_strength": 36.403772,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 50.682878,
        "energy": 50.859088,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.526667,
          11.535818,
          10.55919,
          9.855333
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 13.3,
        "volume": 5750,
        "typical_volume": 30787.5,
        "trend": 9.217667,
        "fair_value": 4.603494,
        "relative_strength": 51.017436,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.958483,
        "energy": 65.734673,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.1,
          11.896364,
          10.90381,
          10.130968
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 14.35,
        "volume": 11000,
        "typical_volume": 30187.5,
        "trend": 9.442,
        "fair_value": 4.682147,
        "relative_strength": 64.701037,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.473264,
        "energy": 71.700862,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.93,
          12.380909,
          11.32119,
          10.462086
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 14.8,
        "volume": 4000,
        "typical_volume": 28712.5,
        "trend": 9.682,
        "fair_value": 4.762917,
        "relative_strength": 61.645079,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.276392,
        "energy": 89.86222,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.723333,
          12.876364,
          11.749381,
          10.807763
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 14.05,
        "volume": 15750,
        "typical_volume": 28212.5,
        "trend": 9.897,
        "fair_value": 4.83984,
        "relative_strength": 51.175621,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.919327,
        "energy": 86.306133,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.04,
          13.171818,
          12.073095,
          11.08957
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 13.2,
        "volume": 25750,
        "typical_volume": 28487.5,
        "trend": 10.082333,
        "fair_value": 4.911442,
        "relative_strength": 41.584072,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.089845,
        "energy": 79.515366,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.906667,
          13.272727,
          12.286762,
          11.302667
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 13.0,
        "volume": 26000,
        "typical_volume": 28912.5,
        "trend": 10.266333,
        "fair_value": 4.981442,
        "relative_strength": 37.39752,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.490222,
        "energy": 61.376795,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.593333,
          13.316364,
          12.456619,
          11.490903
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 13.0,
        "volume": 22000,
        "typical_volume": 29537.5,
        "trend": 10.446333,
        "fair_value": 5.052212,
        "relative_strength": 34.288606,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 50.608013,
        "energy": 47.848064,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.3,
          13.34,
          12.604095,
          11.667269
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 12.95,
        "volume": 27500,
        "typical_volume": 30025.0,
        "trend": 10.616,
        "fair_value": 5.122564,
        "relative_strength": 28.028801,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 44.562755,
        "energy": 36.279354,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.08,
          13.328182,
          12.722619,
          11.828796
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}