{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d6647c3e-a2ed-46f2-8837-120e4795dacc", "symbol": "001287", "name": "Shenzhen CECport Technologies Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 85.656, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -19.857, "architecture_energy": 34.888, "architecture_maturity": 11.33, "architecture_confidence": 69.499, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 37.09, "rotation_up": 19.51, "upward_expansion": 21.42, "deceleration": 57.11, "rotation_down": 64.6, "downward_expansion": 41.76 }, "activity_lines": [ 22.818, 24.927357, 26.008219, 25.870181 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 23.17, "trend_reference": 25.568494, "distance_from_trend": -0.093807, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 21.219892, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.0919, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -7.296084, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.121683, "excess_performance": -0.129083, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.093807, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.036953, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.0919, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.259258, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.072961, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.12727, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.121683, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.52101, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 120912177, "relative_activity": 0.743902, "balance": 0.52101, "dry_up": 1.061027, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.157925, "annualized_volatility": 0.726356, "from_high_reference": -0.288609, "from_low_reference": 0.222691 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 25.568494, "fair_value_reference": 21.219892, "structural_low": 18.950001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, 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"activity_lines": [ 25.49, 26.620434, 26.841741, 26.333363 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 20.82, "volume": 126548871, "typical_volume": 167956415.85, "trend": 25.551494, "fair_value": 21.238741, "relative_strength": -12.39483, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -30.955351, "energy": 35.203321, "activity_lines": [ 23.454667, 25.500755, 26.309718, 26.023826 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 23.17, "volume": 120912177, "typical_volume": 162537748.95, "trend": 25.568494, "fair_value": 21.219892, "relative_strength": -7.296084, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -19.856536, "energy": 34.888251, "activity_lines": [ 22.818, 24.927357, 26.008219, 25.870181 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }