{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d667329f-a248-491d-b1c9-7f7461d95eb8",
    "symbol": "IRIS",
    "name": "Irisity AB (publ)",
    "exchange": "STO",
    "country": "SE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^OMX",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 78.282,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 5.302,
    "architecture_energy": 14.901,
    "architecture_maturity": 12.603,
    "architecture_confidence": 69.587,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 61.44,
        "rotation_up": 17.22,
        "upward_expansion": 42.06,
        "deceleration": 74.24,
        "rotation_down": 37.44,
        "downward_expansion": 36.06
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.209667,
        0.224691,
        0.239171,
        0.219566
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 0.204,
    "trend_reference": 0.1929,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.057543,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 1.906651,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.893006,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -1.658712,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.569231,
    "excess_performance": 0.507736,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.057543,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.20162,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.893006,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.025308,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.016587,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.31345,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.569231,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.381053,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 704150,
      "relative_activity": 0.099819,
      "balance": 0.381053,
      "dry_up": 0.10198,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.326923,
      "annualized_volatility": 2.018026,
      "from_high_reference": -0.695522,
      "from_low_reference": 1.056452
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.1929,
      "fair_value_reference": 1.906651,
      "structural_low": 0.0992,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 16,
        "median_return": -0.080994,
        "positive_rate": 0.125,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.125,
        "median_excess_return": -0.076603,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
        "best_return": 0.222437,
        "worst_return": -0.275714,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.286573,
        "positive_rate": 0.142857,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.142857,
        "median_excess_return": -0.271451,
        "regime_survival": 0.285714,
        "best_return": 0.011986,
        "worst_return": -0.366142,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.416382,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.425917,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": -0.003425,
        "worst_return": -0.755511,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.652397,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.545064,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.513083,
        "worst_return": -0.922244,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2022-02-04",
        "end": "2023-01-27",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.805085,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2023-02-03",
        "end": "2023-03-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.430034,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-03-31",
        "end": "2023-04-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.077372,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2023-06-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.249275,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2023-06-09",
        "end": "2023-06-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.02087,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2023-08-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.127505,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2023-09-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.044286,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2023-09-15",
        "end": "2023-09-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.147541,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2023-09-29",
        "end": "2023-10-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.067061,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-10-27",
        "end": "2024-04-12",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.003099,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-04-19",
        "end": "2024-06-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.218437,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-04-24",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.973316,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-07-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.45,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.081081,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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      },
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 7023441.65,
        "trend": 0.186783,
        "fair_value": 2.001856,
        "relative_strength": 7.284578,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 26.378099,
        "energy": 16.822455,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.228133,
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          0.215744
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 528435,
        "typical_volume": 7024611.45,
        "trend": 0.18985,
        "fair_value": 1.969317,
        "relative_strength": 8.459115,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 24.321754,
        "energy": 14.596969,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.2242,
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          0.218145
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.2,
        "volume": 908559,
        "typical_volume": 7054373.55,
        "trend": 0.192133,
        "fair_value": 1.937715,
        "relative_strength": -3.137739,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 5.95343,
        "energy": 12.21052,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.215267,
          0.233436,
          0.24084,
          0.2188
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.204,
        "volume": 704150,
        "typical_volume": 7054236.95,
        "trend": 0.1929,
        "fair_value": 1.906651,
        "relative_strength": -1.658712,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 5.30223,
        "energy": 14.900836,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.209667,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}