{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d667f617-7877-483c-81ba-38bb6276e76b", "symbol": "301139", "name": "Wintao Communications Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.167, "architecture_energy": 63.575, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 95.811, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.4, "rotation_up": 29.72, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 60.51, "rotation_down": 53.2, "downward_expansion": 85.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.196, 3.426727, 5.830143, 8.711398 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 3.89, "trend_reference": 12.348667, "distance_from_trend": -0.684986, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 22.628103, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.82809, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -76.416867, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.803038, "excess_performance": -0.810438, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.684986, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.297027, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.82809, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.57775, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.764169, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.473365, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.803038, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.553669, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 121535009, "relative_activity": 2.615863, "balance": 0.553669, "dry_up": 1.904663, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.508602, "annualized_volatility": 1.542297, "from_high_reference": -0.844773, "from_low_reference": 0.662393 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 12.348667, "fair_value_reference": 22.628103, "structural_low": 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14.392667, "fair_value": 23.258763, "relative_strength": -83.061353, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.635692, "energy": 70.082552, "activity_lines": [ 3.824667, 4.632182, 8.803476, 11.439527 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2.71, "volume": 64277628, "typical_volume": 34749074.5, "trend": 13.873, "fair_value": 23.092356, "relative_strength": -83.982464, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.091995, "energy": 70.47204, "activity_lines": [ 3.377333, 3.996364, 7.913286, 10.685806 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.39, "volume": 47113641, "typical_volume": 36142925.65, "trend": 13.339333, "fair_value": 22.928392, "relative_strength": -85.613194, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.227111, "energy": 70.15167, "activity_lines": [ 2.956667, 3.588545, 7.071143, 9.944968 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.16, "volume": 121042036, "typical_volume": 41269022.8, "trend": 12.831, "fair_value": 22.773449, "relative_strength": -80.269763, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.514387, "energy": 66.335344, "activity_lines": [ 2.912, 3.414727, 6.379286, 9.288237 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.89, "volume": 121535009, "typical_volume": 46460765.7, "trend": 12.348667, "fair_value": 22.628103, "relative_strength": -76.416867, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.167135, "energy": 63.57493, "activity_lines": [ 3.196, 3.426727, 5.830143, 8.711398 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }