{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d66a4ade-ad99-4479-9782-8eff84b13afd", "symbol": "2849", "name": "EnTie Commercial Bank Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 55.227, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 60.9, "architecture_energy": 48.824, "architecture_maturity": 46.06, "architecture_confidence": 65.188, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.0, "rotation_up": 58.94, "upward_expansion": 80.23, "deceleration": 64.15, "rotation_down": 19.15, "downward_expansion": 6.9 }, "activity_lines": [ 14.676667, 14.54744, 14.134584, 13.823825 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 14.3, "trend_reference": 13.471299, "distance_from_trend": 0.061516, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 13.173001, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.085554, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -22.628341, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.130975, "excess_performance": -0.310397, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.061516, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.038738, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.085554, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.114805, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.226283, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.11084, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.130975, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.019054, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 482316, "relative_activity": 0.558436, "balance": 2.019054, "dry_up": 1.625842, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.047152, "annualized_volatility": 0.232685, "from_high_reference": -0.074434, "from_low_reference": 0.166596 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.471299, "fair_value_reference": 13.173001, "structural_low": 12.257884, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.47619, "directional_follow_through": 0.47619, "median_excess_return": -0.006396, "regime_survival": 0.761905, "best_return": 0.064286, "worst_return": -0.042741, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.010938, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.014533, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.168897, "worst_return": -0.047782, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.000981, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.08052, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.085502, "worst_return": -0.061306, "sufficient": true }, { 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"stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.337442, "energy": 80.05335, "activity_lines": [ 14.352089, 14.057383, 13.67457, 13.461103 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 14.75, "volume": 1618480, "typical_volume": 796984.35, "trend": 13.292926, "fair_value": 13.1456, "relative_strength": -18.741281, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.25513, "energy": 74.501548, "activity_lines": [ 14.527161, 14.237799, 13.806942, 13.558703 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 15.4, "volume": 2137465, "typical_volume": 830224.85, "trend": 13.373534, "fair_value": 13.15842, "relative_strength": -13.295108, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.177993, "energy": 83.965089, "activity_lines": [ 14.875015, 14.499861, 13.99211, 13.694643 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 14.5, "volume": 1378640, "typical_volume": 866456.9, "trend": 13.424141, "fair_value": 13.166352, "relative_strength": -19.586247, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.743887, "energy": 66.942064, "activity_lines": [ 14.822783, 14.551686, 14.07775, 13.767318 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 14.3, "volume": 482316, "typical_volume": 863691.15, "trend": 13.471299, "fair_value": 13.173001, "relative_strength": -22.628341, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.899746, "energy": 48.82354, "activity_lines": [ 14.676667, 14.54744, 14.134584, 13.823825 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }