{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d66ae63b-330f-440d-87b2-f9a35e755632", "symbol": "6839", "name": "Power Master Energy Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 52.038, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -57.705, "architecture_energy": 50.477, "architecture_maturity": 8.397, "architecture_confidence": 90.018, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.12, "rotation_up": 15.39, "upward_expansion": 10.52, "deceleration": 39.27, "rotation_down": 62.78, "downward_expansion": 88.52 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.993333, 12.185455, 12.402143, 12.536022 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 11.95, "trend_reference": 12.645, "distance_from_trend": -0.054962, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 21.943195, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.455412, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -37.755494, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.098113, "excess_performance": -0.539485, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.054962, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.005505, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.455412, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.038961, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.377555, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.086303, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.098113, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.81164, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 123018, "relative_activity": 0.287224, "balance": 1.81164, "dry_up": 0.356165, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.071452, "annualized_volatility": 0.445408, "from_high_reference": -0.343407, "from_low_reference": 0.219388 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 12.645, "fair_value_reference": 21.943195, "structural_low": 11.2, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": -0.033333, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.057139, "regime_survival": 0.928571, "best_return": 0.205761, "worst_return": -0.221843, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.078378, "positive_rate": 0.222222, "directional_follow_through": 0.777778, "median_excess_return": -0.164594, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.060714, "worst_return": -0.173423, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.166667, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.326738, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": -0.016129, "worst_return": -0.32973, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"close": 11.8, "volume": 110226, "typical_volume": 489727.15, "trend": 12.78, "fair_value": 22.538906, "relative_strength": -39.068275, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.832217, "energy": 30.42301, "activity_lines": [ 12.39, 12.524545, 12.675714, 12.736022 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 12.1, "volume": 112319, "typical_volume": 478246.8, "trend": 12.848333, "fair_value": 22.387822, "relative_strength": -37.717116, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.592201, "energy": 43.010743, "activity_lines": [ 12.25, 12.455455, 12.605476, 12.692151 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12.05, "volume": 268258, "typical_volume": 470150.4, "trend": 12.83, "fair_value": 22.236988, "relative_strength": -35.934484, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.081221, "energy": 49.308908, "activity_lines": [ 12.116667, 12.376364, 12.537381, 12.640645 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.0, "volume": 106587, "typical_volume": 460966.95, "trend": 12.741667, "fair_value": 22.087258, "relative_strength": -36.555752, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.806371, "energy": 54.74995, "activity_lines": [ 12.036667, 12.283636, 12.469762, 12.587097 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 11.95, "volume": 123018, "typical_volume": 428299.6, "trend": 12.645, "fair_value": 21.943195, "relative_strength": -37.755494, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.705374, "energy": 50.476671, "activity_lines": [ 11.993333, 12.185455, 12.402143, 12.536022 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }