{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d68159fa-1a33-4fbd-ae1a-ef0d6d241ce9",
    "symbol": "MAFL",
    "name": "Mineral & Financial Investments Limited",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 70.26,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -54.634,
    "architecture_energy": 36.074,
    "architecture_maturity": 29.954,
    "architecture_confidence": 75.637,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 16.55,
        "rotation_up": 25.81,
        "upward_expansion": 11.46,
        "deceleration": 56.04,
        "rotation_down": 50.7,
        "downward_expansion": 75.79
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.425,
        0.425273,
        0.445167,
        0.458129
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 0.46,
    "trend_reference": 0.473833,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.029195,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.236446,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.94548,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 2.678113,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.061224,
    "excess_performance": -0.11246,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.029195,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.03797,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.94548,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.330672,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.026781,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.25852,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.061224,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.726202,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 319121,
      "relative_activity": 1.354265,
      "balance": 0.726202,
      "dry_up": 0.75416,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.08495,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.339394,
      "from_high_reference": -0.201666,
      "from_low_reference": 1.110092
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.473833,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.236446,
      "structural_low": 0.39,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 13,
        "median_return": 0.043478,
        "positive_rate": 0.538462,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.384615,
        "median_excess_return": 0.036129,
        "regime_survival": 0.692308,
        "best_return": 0.333333,
        "worst_return": -0.177419,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.0,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
        "median_excess_return": -0.018966,
        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
        "best_return": 0.962791,
        "worst_return": -0.258065,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.03883,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.073047,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 1.0,
        "worst_return": -0.241935,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.7,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.648725,
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        "best_return": 1.341463,
        "worst_return": -0.33871,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2024-02-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "end": "2024-08-09",
        "tenure": "Established",
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      },
      {
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      {
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "end": "2024-10-04",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "return": 0.04,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "return": 0.875,
        "active": false
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      {
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        "active": true
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 353853.55,
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        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 338145.3,
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        "fair_value": 0.229987,
        "relative_strength": -1.485729,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "down",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 115974,
        "typical_volume": 322160.15,
        "trend": 0.474833,
        "fair_value": 0.231413,
        "relative_strength": -3.048585,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -68.622111,
        "energy": 76.086896,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.419,
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          0.456976,
          0.467946
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 159009,
        "typical_volume": 303847.25,
        "trend": 0.474333,
        "fair_value": 0.23292,
        "relative_strength": -5.940448,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -69.04445,
        "energy": 77.158574,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.413667,
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          0.45131,
          0.463763
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.4,
        "volume": 116742,
        "typical_volume": 284110.3,
        "trend": 0.473,
        "fair_value": 0.23449,
        "relative_strength": -9.776031,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -70.842677,
        "energy": 71.897758,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.408,
          0.420545,
          0.44519,
          0.458968
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.46,
        "volume": 319121,
        "typical_volume": 235641.5,
        "trend": 0.473833,
        "fair_value": 0.236446,
        "relative_strength": 2.678113,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -54.633898,
        "energy": 36.073924,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.425,
          0.425273,
          0.445167,
          0.458129
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}