{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d6988190-421e-4b12-9921-96beea71df92",
    "symbol": "HTWS",
    "name": "Helios Towers plc",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 72.858,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -19.578,
    "architecture_energy": 28.855,
    "architecture_maturity": 33.509,
    "architecture_confidence": 41.64,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 42.52,
        "rotation_up": 15.35,
        "upward_expansion": 22.4,
        "deceleration": 58.45,
        "rotation_down": 59.31,
        "downward_expansion": 40.73
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        198.852393,
        202.037398,
        209.434281,
        206.262884
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 202.6,
    "trend_reference": 199.864473,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.013687,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 125.991245,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.608048,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 5.222384,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.111965,
    "excess_performance": 0.06073,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.013687,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.083315,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.608048,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.421259,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.052224,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.387561,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.111965,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.636536,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 46293145,
      "relative_activity": 3.960377,
      "balance": 1.636536,
      "dry_up": 1.782185,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.067351,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.370802,
      "from_high_reference": -0.181745,
      "from_low_reference": 0.716949
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 199.864473,
      "fair_value_reference": 125.991245,
      "structural_low": 169.199997,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.0454,
        "positive_rate": 0.285714,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.285714,
        "median_excess_return": -0.016527,
        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
        "best_return": 0.131034,
        "worst_return": -0.089431,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.007666,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.039385,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.289655,
        "worst_return": -0.217073,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.222764,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.262583,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.491379,
        "worst_return": -0.331541,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.139425,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.182779,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.104065,
        "worst_return": -0.382915,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-03-03",
        "end": "2023-12-29",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.157994,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-01-05",
        "end": "2024-02-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.143521,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-02-09",
        "end": "2024-03-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.220579,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-08-16",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.291979,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-11-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.102439,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-11-08",
        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.111009,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-14",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.076321,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.121032,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-07-25",
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        "return": 0.054965,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "tenure": "New",
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      },
      {
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "return": -0.055037,
        "active": true
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    ],
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 9916882.6,
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        "fair_value": 124.534232,
        "relative_strength": 7.941317,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 195.1941,
        "volume": 20751578,
        "typical_volume": 10132718.2,
        "trend": 198.651139,
        "fair_value": 125.22554,
        "relative_strength": 2.267135,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -23.627273,
        "energy": 30.712983,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 202.6,
        "volume": 46293145,
        "typical_volume": 11689075.55,
        "trend": 199.864473,
        "fair_value": 125.991245,
        "relative_strength": 5.222384,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -19.577807,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}