{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d69d062a-ec89-4c09-af95-af9d10656311",
    "symbol": "QMOM",
    "name": "ALPHA ARCHITECT U.S. QUANTITATIVE MOMENTUM ETF",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 70.717,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 15.721,
    "architecture_energy": 13.062,
    "architecture_maturity": 42.467,
    "architecture_confidence": 81.394,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 54.73,
        "rotation_up": 22.98,
        "upward_expansion": 46.89,
        "deceleration": 83.29,
        "rotation_down": 35.44,
        "downward_expansion": 29.55
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        76.415291,
        75.305942
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 77.1,
    "trend_reference": 73.756447,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.045332,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 61.181923,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.260176,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -3.12612,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.104743,
    "excess_performance": -0.082711,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.045332,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.052769,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.260176,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.085071,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.031261,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.018901,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.104743,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.412759,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 100938,
      "relative_activity": 0.834131,
      "balance": 1.412759,
      "dry_up": 0.788758,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.051033,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.210446,
      "from_high_reference": -0.059133,
      "from_low_reference": 0.286676
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 73.756447,
      "fair_value_reference": 61.181923,
      "structural_low": 64.1301,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": 0.014207,
        "positive_rate": 0.636364,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.636364,
        "median_excess_return": 0.013908,
        "regime_survival": 0.454545,
        "best_return": 0.064839,
        "worst_return": -0.100044,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.019925,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.013328,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 0.091359,
        "worst_return": -0.202985,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.123001,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.060372,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.265013,
        "worst_return": -0.131396,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.084742,
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        "best_return": 0.412448,
        "worst_return": -0.043346,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-12-29",
        "end": "2024-04-19",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.086924,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-04-26",
        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.041419,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2024-08-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-01-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.034415,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.086141,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.004848,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.162209,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "end": "2025-08-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.027406,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
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      {
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        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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        "relative_strength": 4.367565,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 109348.25,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 114855.7,
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        "fair_value": 58.922326,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "trend": 70.447325,
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        "relative_strength": -1.98496,
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "relative_strength": -1.223791,
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "energy": 35.881298,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "trend": 72.314444,
        "fair_value": 60.222755,
        "relative_strength": -3.735736,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "energy": 27.679777,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 76.02,
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        "typical_volume": 131466.85,
        "trend": 72.657414,
        "fair_value": 60.415359,
        "relative_strength": -5.125151,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 36.88462,
        "energy": 19.941377,
        "activity_lines": [
          76.74276,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 74.1305,
        "volume": 88751,
        "typical_volume": 130057.85,
        "trend": 72.942143,
        "fair_value": 60.598374,
        "relative_strength": -3.342227,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 23.04435,
        "energy": 18.715697,
        "activity_lines": [
          75.669007,
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          76.330724,
          74.911126
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 74.8929,
        "volume": 107412,
        "typical_volume": 130431.0,
        "trend": 73.214663,
        "fair_value": 60.786516,
        "relative_strength": -0.709484,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 12.3834,
        "energy": 14.884063,
        "activity_lines": [
          75.181353,
          76.298527,
          76.358458,
          75.036981
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 73.74,
        "volume": 84689,
        "typical_volume": 127680.65,
        "trend": 73.456447,
        "fair_value": 60.971976,
        "relative_strength": -2.667232,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 2.310274,
        "energy": 12.83742,
        "activity_lines": [
          74.571,
          75.695653,
          76.242987,
          75.070874
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 77.1,
        "volume": 100938,
        "typical_volume": 121009.8,
        "trend": 73.756447,
        "fair_value": 61.181923,
        "relative_strength": -3.12612,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 15.721456,
        "energy": 13.06222,
        "activity_lines": [
          75.294647,
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}