{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d69fc3e6-76b7-4d5b-998b-fc50b6958c6e", "symbol": "BARRA", "name": "Barramundi Group Ltd.", "exchange": "OSL", "country": "NO", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "OSEBX.OL", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 74.107, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.317, "architecture_energy": 59.48, "architecture_maturity": 22.0, "architecture_confidence": 91.244, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 22.19, "rotation_up": 12.8, "upward_expansion": 12.72, "deceleration": 37.94, "rotation_down": 68.91, "downward_expansion": 90.72 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.542667, 0.601455, 0.653543, 0.692329 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.48, "trend_reference": 0.707733, "distance_from_trend": -0.321778, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1.565118, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.693314, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -37.36309, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.088435, "excess_performance": -0.036558, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.321778, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.043085, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.693314, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.025372, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.373631, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.086337, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.088435, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.77237, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 262523, "relative_activity": 0.460339, "balance": 0.77237, "dry_up": 0.720414, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.399679, "annualized_volatility": 1.974489, "from_high_reference": -0.717647, "from_low_reference": 0.368843 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.707733, "fair_value_reference": 1.565118, "structural_low": 0.428, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": -0.027778, "positive_rate": 0.304348, "directional_follow_through": 0.521739, "median_excess_return": -0.024444, "regime_survival": 0.782609, "best_return": 1.709091, "worst_return": -0.62, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.145299, "positive_rate": 0.222222, "directional_follow_through": 0.777778, "median_excess_return": -0.177543, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 2.325843, "worst_return": -0.644, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.069042, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.144881, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.184, "worst_return": -0.477124, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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0.725105, 0.730041 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.665, "volume": 123070, "typical_volume": 507909.7, "trend": 0.703633, "fair_value": 1.640759, "relative_strength": -13.053955, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -20.643613, "energy": 20.638274, "activity_lines": [ 0.665667, 0.688127, 0.715233, 0.727903 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.545, "volume": 521522, "typical_volume": 523912.4, "trend": 0.702, "fair_value": 1.614253, "relative_strength": -30.053341, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -32.072206, "energy": 36.439189, "activity_lines": [ 0.618, 0.663109, 0.695376, 0.717669 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.535, "volume": 736242, "typical_volume": 558629.3, "trend": 0.705767, "fair_value": 1.587682, "relative_strength": -31.022156, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -34.796608, "energy": 43.4717, "activity_lines": [ 0.584333, 0.637818, 0.6764, 0.706895 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.48, "volume": 262523, "typical_volume": 570281.95, "trend": 0.707733, "fair_value": 1.565118, "relative_strength": -37.36309, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.317467, "energy": 59.479926, "activity_lines": [ 0.542667, 0.601455, 0.653543, 0.692329 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }