{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d6a61ba1-c128-4b1b-94a5-87e9a80ed83d",
    "symbol": "SXC",
    "name": "SunCoke Energy Inc",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 67.076,
    "architecture_energy": 43.744,
    "architecture_maturity": 39.859,
    "architecture_confidence": 65.694,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 33.82,
        "rotation_up": 50.15,
        "upward_expansion": 73.81,
        "deceleration": 70.48,
        "rotation_down": 20.64,
        "downward_expansion": 5.14
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        8.372604,
        7.930445
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 9.39,
    "trend_reference": 7.534787,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.24622,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 8.275333,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.134698,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 13.55014,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.173426,
    "excess_performance": 0.047801,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.24622,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.092589,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.134698,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.248472,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.135501,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.244978,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.173426,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.001936,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 10822576,
      "relative_activity": 1.44034,
      "balance": 2.001936,
      "dry_up": 1.2288,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.102706,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.532623,
      "from_high_reference": -0.053427,
      "from_low_reference": 0.729442
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 7.534787,
      "fair_value_reference": 8.275333,
      "structural_low": 5.429496,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": -0.030714,
        "positive_rate": 0.222222,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.222222,
        "median_excess_return": -0.012991,
        "regime_survival": 0.444444,
        "best_return": 0.135307,
        "worst_return": -0.123179,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.07551,
        "positive_rate": 0.2,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
        "median_excess_return": -0.126033,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.255987,
        "worst_return": -0.193129,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.127796,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.013703,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.138611,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.028271,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.213166,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.250625,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2024-11-01",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.007527,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.085659,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.063476,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.096832,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-11-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-01-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": true
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      },
      {
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        "relative_strength": 5.469186,
        "stage": 2,
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        "energy": 24.756476,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 8129125.8,
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        "fair_value": 8.261599,
        "relative_strength": 13.160891,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "direction": 51.250847,
        "energy": 30.332671,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 8.48,
        "volume": 14629623,
        "typical_volume": 8266431.5,
        "trend": 7.478529,
        "fair_value": 8.265522,
        "relative_strength": 6.343707,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 40.789979,
        "energy": 28.857596,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 9.39,
        "volume": 10822576,
        "typical_volume": 7513901.15,
        "trend": 7.534787,
        "fair_value": 8.275333,
        "relative_strength": 13.55014,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.075804,
        "energy": 43.743525,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}