{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d6b5c987-880c-4c22-9a02-d6ca9abcdbee", "symbol": "002860", "name": "Hangzhou Star Shuaier Electric Appliance Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 61.366, "architecture_energy": 56.238, "architecture_maturity": 22.473, "architecture_confidence": 81.291, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.87, "rotation_up": 66.82, "upward_expansion": 83.19, "deceleration": 51.88, "rotation_down": 12.39, "downward_expansion": 9.86 }, "activity_lines": [ 16.778, 16.144182, 15.03073, 14.500429 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 16.58, "trend_reference": 14.039936, "distance_from_trend": 0.180917, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 11.600041, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.429305, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 14.746242, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.215346, "excess_performance": 0.207946, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.180917, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.026436, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.429305, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.271785, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.147462, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.347683, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.215346, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.972743, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 90334992, "relative_activity": 1.331943, "balance": 0.972743, "dry_up": 1.808384, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.112019, "annualized_volatility": 0.431223, "from_high_reference": -0.165996, "from_low_reference": 0.412763 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 14.039936, "fair_value_reference": 11.600041, "structural_low": 11.735872, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": 0.009366, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.024789, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.424719, "worst_return": -0.227139, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.00831, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.033068, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.127659, "worst_return": -0.183665, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.072243, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.015768, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.307513, "worst_return": -0.104167, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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17.790001, "volume": 135372182, "typical_volume": 58432617.9, "trend": 13.847038, "fair_value": 11.554963, "relative_strength": 28.11749, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.80081, "energy": 85.95097, "activity_lines": [ 16.564667, 15.521091, 14.51821, 14.148233 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 16.68, "volume": 165395261, "typical_volume": 64726353.65, "trend": 13.953924, "fair_value": 11.577322, "relative_strength": 21.72587, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.102133, "energy": 71.771963, "activity_lines": [ 16.78, 15.869637, 14.787245, 14.331005 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 16.58, "volume": 90334992, "typical_volume": 67821979.95, "trend": 14.039936, "fair_value": 11.600041, "relative_strength": 14.746242, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.365713, "energy": 56.238127, "activity_lines": [ 16.778, 16.144182, 15.03073, 14.500429 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }