{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d6b80653-8631-4bc1-bb50-73cfb2eba13a", "symbol": "SJVN", "name": "SJVN Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -69.461, "architecture_energy": 74.893, "architecture_maturity": 11.043, "architecture_confidence": 83.931, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.1, "rotation_up": 9.32, "upward_expansion": 16.75, "deceleration": 37.15, "rotation_down": 78.92, "downward_expansion": 94.75 }, "activity_lines": [ 68.410667, 69.739272, 71.860333, 72.210819 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 67.959999, "trend_reference": 72.531874, "distance_from_trend": -0.063033, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 94.875443, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.283692, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -11.707002, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.04489, "excess_performance": -0.001181, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.063033, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.027598, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.283692, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.136545, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.11707, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.090896, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.04489, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.360191, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8676665, "relative_activity": 0.571503, "balance": 0.360191, "dry_up": 0.623471, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.042763, "annualized_volatility": 0.239438, "from_high_reference": -0.31746, "from_low_reference": 0.078388 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 72.531874, "fair_value_reference": 94.875443, "structural_low": 63.02, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": -0.027562, "positive_rate": 0.411765, "directional_follow_through": 0.588235, "median_excess_return": -0.006085, "regime_survival": 0.823529, "best_return": 0.121861, "worst_return": -0.115529, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.015004, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.039141, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.254047, "worst_return": -0.176462, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.082121, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.06005, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.246281, "worst_return": -0.111486, "sufficient": false }, { 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"down", "direction": -62.488366, "energy": 55.634874, "activity_lines": [ 70.925331, 71.970544, 73.240142, 73.203754 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 67.580002, "volume": 10690286, "typical_volume": 17306546.05, "trend": 73.269318, "fair_value": 94.68479, "relative_strength": -10.236361, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.79133, "energy": 72.092708, "activity_lines": [ 69.616666, 70.994363, 72.722285, 72.825034 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 68.620003, "volume": 10827966, "typical_volume": 16413787.35, "trend": 72.831015, "fair_value": 94.778128, "relative_strength": -10.683398, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.466099, "energy": 73.554365, "activity_lines": [ 69.008001, 70.386182, 72.319714, 72.525078 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 67.959999, "volume": 8676665, "typical_volume": 15182186.5, "trend": 72.531874, "fair_value": 94.875443, "relative_strength": -11.707002, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.461266, "energy": 74.893103, "activity_lines": [ 68.410667, 69.739272, 71.860333, 72.210819 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }