{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d6d396be-1310-4d93-a53b-3cfbd4fa19a5",
    "symbol": "SRV-UN",
    "name": "SIR Royalty Income Fund",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 91.856,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 76.133,
    "architecture_energy": 73.874,
    "architecture_maturity": 18.164,
    "architecture_confidence": 73.751,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 7.14,
        "rotation_up": 74.9,
        "upward_expansion": 91.17,
        "deceleration": 42.91,
        "rotation_down": 11.6,
        "downward_expansion": 15.5
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        16.139706,
        15.984917,
        15.792314,
        15.675654
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 16.33,
    "trend_reference": 15.52208,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.05205,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 12.889206,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.266952,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -1.837683,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.068739,
    "excess_performance": -0.051682,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.05205,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.047466,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.266952,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.043944,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.018377,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.000876,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.068739,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.53055,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 10909,
      "relative_activity": 0.981131,
      "balance": 3.53055,
      "dry_up": 1.280714,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.021545,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.094516,
      "from_high_reference": -0.007295,
      "from_low_reference": 0.241625
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 15.52208,
      "fair_value_reference": 12.889206,
      "structural_low": 14.704411,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 38,
        "median_return": 0.011767,
        "positive_rate": 0.710526,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.710526,
        "median_excess_return": 0.005415,
        "regime_survival": 0.789474,
        "best_return": 0.166915,
        "worst_return": -0.073045,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.059264,
        "positive_rate": 0.916667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.916667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.060393,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.465986,
        "worst_return": -0.027487,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.124909,
        "positive_rate": 0.857143,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.857143,
        "median_excess_return": 0.02844,
        "regime_survival": 0.571429,
        "best_return": 0.499934,
        "worst_return": -0.060265,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.25834,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.211147,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.821662,
        "worst_return": 0.253116,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-03-08",
        "end": "2024-03-15",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.100667,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-03-22",
        "end": "2024-09-27",
        "tenure": "Extended",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-03-28",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-01-02",
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        "relative_strength": -2.142439,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 16.1,
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        "typical_volume": 10768.6,
        "trend": 15.329811,
        "fair_value": 12.81759,
        "relative_strength": -0.650399,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 74.184433,
        "energy": 70.290251,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 15.74,
        "volume": 14320,
        "typical_volume": 10965.0,
        "trend": 15.386612,
        "fair_value": 12.837193,
        "relative_strength": -2.958357,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.160622,
        "energy": 58.411258,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 16.280001,
        "volume": 15922,
        "typical_volume": 11244.05,
        "trend": 15.454964,
        "fair_value": 12.861218,
        "relative_strength": 0.911162,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.807087,
        "energy": 71.133883,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.017832,
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          15.6192
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 16.33,
        "volume": 10909,
        "typical_volume": 11118.8,
        "trend": 15.52208,
        "fair_value": 12.889206,
        "relative_strength": -1.837683,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.132552,
        "energy": 73.873704,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}