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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 91.034, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 76.365, "architecture_energy": 48.66, "architecture_maturity": 53.054, "architecture_confidence": 73.649, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.94, "rotation_up": 52.19, "upward_expansion": 79.7, "deceleration": 62.63, "rotation_down": 25.87, "downward_expansion": 6.36 }, "activity_lines": [ 157.566667, 156.785512, 155.2998, 152.487387 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 161.44, "trend_reference": 149.332763, "distance_from_trend": 0.081076, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 120.398041, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.340886, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -1.84705, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.110688, "excess_performance": -0.076766, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.081076, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.038321, "read": "Rising" 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"2026-07-10", "close": 157.68, "volume": 17056532, "typical_volume": 22020542.4, "trend": 147.341254, "fair_value": 118.756497, "relative_strength": -4.58648, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.989919, "energy": 49.883471, "activity_lines": [ 156.453111, 155.931085, 152.721351, 150.229888 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 155.0, "volume": 15437309, "typical_volume": 21280737.6, "trend": 147.840739, "fair_value": 119.152312, "relative_strength": -2.09062, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.044097, "energy": 41.851379, "activity_lines": [ 156.031333, 155.844446, 153.279156, 150.724001 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 154.3, "volume": 13323338, "typical_volume": 19111866.55, "trend": 148.250979, "fair_value": 119.536258, "relative_strength": -0.912402, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.885734, "energy": 34.887745, "activity_lines": [ 155.408, 155.619508, 153.729553, 151.140727 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 156.43, "volume": 13892314, "typical_volume": 17657666.9, "trend": 148.745799, "fair_value": 119.949475, "relative_strength": -0.079572, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.54153, "energy": 34.097266, "activity_lines": [ 155.724, 155.760058, 154.318428, 151.668406 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 161.44, "volume": 13211528, "typical_volume": 17224654.8, "trend": 149.332763, "fair_value": 120.398041, "relative_strength": -1.84705, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.364536, "energy": 48.659583, "activity_lines": [ 157.566667, 156.785512, 155.2998, 152.487387 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }