{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d6f82742-22c7-46be-a439-3bd3438b4fb9", "symbol": "600322", "name": "Tianjin Jintou State-owned Urban Development Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 87.117, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 23.265, "architecture_energy": 16.934, "architecture_maturity": 49.199, "architecture_confidence": 85.819, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.28, "rotation_up": 25.13, "upward_expansion": 50.35, "deceleration": 87.46, "rotation_down": 39.23, "downward_expansion": 27.69 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.580667, 2.640364, 2.620095, 2.571398 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 2.64, "trend_reference": 2.504667, "distance_from_trend": 0.054032, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2.30109, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.147283, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 4.561845, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.162996, "excess_performance": 0.206199, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.054032, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.025242, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.147283, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.099609, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.045618, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.05379, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.162996, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.641869, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 113487619, "relative_activity": 0.791018, "balance": 0.641869, "dry_up": 0.97481, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.120047, "annualized_volatility": 0.512668, "from_high_reference": -0.270718, "from_low_reference": 0.211009 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.504667, "fair_value_reference": 2.30109, "structural_low": 2.18, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.016281, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.05195, "regime_survival": 0.6875, "best_return": 0.495192, "worst_return": -0.315113, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.184206, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": -0.225958, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.395122, "worst_return": -0.29021, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.193772, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.334194, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.009756, "worst_return": -0.452532, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"close": 2.55, "volume": 110257240, "typical_volume": 146461502.1, "trend": 2.494333, "fair_value": 2.297564, "relative_strength": 3.406384, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 26.162205, "energy": 15.059063, "activity_lines": [ 2.598, 2.640364, 2.612905, 2.562 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.64, "volume": 113487619, "typical_volume": 143470249.5, "trend": 2.504667, "fair_value": 2.30109, "relative_strength": 4.561845, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 23.265371, "energy": 16.933748, "activity_lines": [ 2.580667, 2.640364, 2.620095, 2.571398 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }