{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d712f1ae-ecaa-4949-80c6-c5ff7ee88d2e",
    "symbol": "ALDV",
    "name": "Alliance Developpement Capital SIIC",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 74.759,
    "architecture_energy": 72.425,
    "architecture_maturity": 24.918,
    "architecture_confidence": 78.641,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 22.59,
        "rotation_up": 76.42,
        "upward_expansion": 90.48,
        "deceleration": 44.82,
        "rotation_down": 10.4,
        "downward_expansion": 14.82
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.077133,
        0.074082,
        0.067831,
        0.066287
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 0.08,
    "trend_reference": 0.0647,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.236476,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.068705,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.164396,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 11.067928,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.269841,
    "excess_performance": 0.21653,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.236476,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.011464,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.164396,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.29114,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.110679,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.297594,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.269841,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.226874,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 6000,
      "relative_activity": 0.407162,
      "balance": 1.226874,
      "dry_up": 0.2331,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.087885,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.975467,
      "from_high_reference": -0.090909,
      "from_low_reference": 0.6
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.0647,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.068705,
      "structural_low": 0.05,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.0,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.006126,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.241379,
        "worst_return": -0.25,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.100575,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.119617,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 0.016129,
        "worst_return": -0.204545,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.25,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.260552,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.451613,
        "worst_return": -0.377778,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.148649,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.250372,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.096774,
        "worst_return": -0.370833,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-05-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.05,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-05-09",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-06-06",
        "end": "2025-08-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.154286,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-08-08",
        "end": "2025-08-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-09-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-09-12",
        "end": "2025-10-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.015267,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-11-07",
        "end": "2026-03-06",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.090226,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-03-13",
        "end": "2026-04-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.090909,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-04-17",
        "end": "2026-04-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "return": -0.15,
        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": true
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        "fair_value": 0.068708,
        "relative_strength": -18.691505,
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 12140.8,
        "trend": 0.064733,
        "fair_value": 0.068708,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 11671.75,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 50000,
        "typical_volume": 13955.0,
        "trend": 0.063967,
        "fair_value": 0.068612,
        "relative_strength": -30.98345,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 13205.0,
        "trend": 0.06345,
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        "relative_strength": -29.131546,
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        "energy": 95.256407,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 12855.0,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "typical_volume": 14080.0,
        "trend": 0.06296,
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        "relative_strength": -2.097697,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
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        "direction": -19.963507,
        "energy": 34.319105,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 14080.0,
        "trend": 0.062423,
        "fair_value": 0.068335,
        "relative_strength": -24.272488,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -62.8293,
        "energy": 38.603657,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.05718,
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          0.059368,
          0.060626
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 0.0845,
        "volume": 31862,
        "typical_volume": 15673.1,
        "trend": 0.062907,
        "fair_value": 0.068396,
        "relative_strength": 17.434543,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 42.565225,
        "energy": 40.926129,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 0.0757,
        "volume": 830,
        "typical_volume": 14312.75,
        "trend": 0.063097,
        "fair_value": 0.0684,
        "relative_strength": 7.899833,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 44.456167,
        "energy": 49.101399,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.071387,
          0.064824,
          0.062887,
          0.062876
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 0.0757,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 14110.25,
        "trend": 0.063287,
        "fair_value": 0.068481,
        "relative_strength": 8.471965,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.270539,
        "energy": 77.373389,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.074227,
          0.067371,
          0.064116,
          0.063689
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.0757,
        "volume": 2000,
        "typical_volume": 14210.25,
        "trend": 0.06371,
        "fair_value": 0.068611,
        "relative_strength": 8.616893,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.567677,
        "energy": 80.720528,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.07542,
          0.069633,
          0.065273,
          0.06449
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.0757,
        "volume": 5740,
        "typical_volume": 14436.15,
        "trend": 0.064133,
        "fair_value": 0.068644,
        "relative_strength": 7.088896,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.150593,
        "energy": 77.295483,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.076287,
          0.071609,
          0.066357,
          0.065263
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.08,
        "volume": 6000,
        "typical_volume": 14736.15,
        "trend": 0.0647,
        "fair_value": 0.068705,
        "relative_strength": 11.067928,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.758633,
        "energy": 72.425471,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.077133,
          0.074082,
          0.067831,
          0.066287
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}