{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d713d382-db6d-440b-90a7-9bdcdda14413", "symbol": "AFCG", "name": "AFC Gamma Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 75.418, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -22.255, "architecture_energy": 41.147, "architecture_maturity": 2.16, "architecture_confidence": 76.213, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.8, "rotation_up": 14.4, "upward_expansion": 21.16, "deceleration": 54.74, "rotation_down": 64.96, "downward_expansion": 48.49 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.724, 2.85912, 3.004031, 2.927988 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 2.78, "trend_reference": 2.785554, "distance_from_trend": -0.001994, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 5.282187, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.473703, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -20.814283, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.303821, "excess_performance": 0.116367, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.001994, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.006446, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.473703, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.048239, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.208143, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.02436, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.303821, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.487547, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 390763, "relative_activity": 0.442886, "balance": 0.487547, "dry_up": 0.458724, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.111201, "annualized_volatility": 0.495155, "from_high_reference": -0.42351, "from_low_reference": 0.373442 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.785554, "fair_value_reference": 5.282187, "structural_low": 2.063415, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.087571, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.04043, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.09697, "worst_return": -0.056779, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.112049, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.135377, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.166571, "worst_return": -0.390669, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.106371, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.270506, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.201169, "worst_return": -0.413912, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"relative_strength": -24.755326, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -13.452801, "energy": 26.464283, "activity_lines": [ 2.802688, 3.001786, 3.050589, 2.93492 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.69, "volume": 332082, "typical_volume": 957259.0, "trend": 2.786887, "fair_value": 5.30353, "relative_strength": -20.588326, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -24.518488, "energy": 33.646024, "activity_lines": [ 2.735333, 2.914384, 3.023276, 2.928432 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.78, "volume": 390763, "typical_volume": 882310.55, "trend": 2.785554, "fair_value": 5.282187, "relative_strength": -20.814283, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -22.254784, "energy": 41.14695, "activity_lines": [ 2.724, 2.85912, 3.004031, 2.927988 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }