{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d72ede42-c7bc-4897-adef-b45dba79ab02",
    "symbol": "KSM-F84",
    "name": "KSM Mutual Funds Ltd. - KSM ETF (4A) Bloomberg Brent Crude Currency Hedged",
    "exchange": "TLV",
    "country": "IL",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "TA35.TA",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -53.847,
    "architecture_energy": 66.012,
    "architecture_maturity": 57.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 81.294,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 24.43,
        "rotation_up": 27.84,
        "upward_expansion": 24.09,
        "deceleration": 52.56,
        "rotation_down": 46.94,
        "downward_expansion": 69.42
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        11.41532,
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 11.1273,
    "trend_reference": 715.491457,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.984448,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 738.275217,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.984928,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -98.583636,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.985492,
    "excess_performance": -1.014393,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.984448,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.242087,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.984928,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -1.609376,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.985836,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -1.168315,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.985492,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.260592,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 296932,
      "relative_activity": 1.123843,
      "balance": 1.260592,
      "dry_up": 0.716063,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 10.365552,
      "annualized_volatility": 6.380837,
      "from_high_reference": -0.992194,
      "from_low_reference": 0.159613
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 715.491457,
      "fair_value_reference": 738.275217,
      "structural_low": 9.5957,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 19,
        "median_return": 0.019751,
        "positive_rate": 0.736842,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.263158,
        "median_excess_return": 0.017222,
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        "worst_return": -0.138411,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "positive_rate": 0.625,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.375,
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        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.112146,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
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      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "worst_return": 0.059226,
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "volume": 106324,
        "typical_volume": 293501.85,
        "trend": 738.487214,
        "fair_value": 743.070555,
        "relative_strength": -98.5656,
        "stage": 4,
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        "energy": 66.565942,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 11.1273,
        "volume": 296932,
        "typical_volume": 264211.3,
        "trend": 715.491457,
        "fair_value": 738.275217,
        "relative_strength": -98.583636,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}