{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d7360e8d-0290-44a5-954f-d390e169c088", "symbol": "USIN", "name": "WISDOMTREE 7-10 YEAR LADDERED TREASURY FUND", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 58.581, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.135, "architecture_energy": 64.714, "architecture_maturity": 24.92, "architecture_confidence": 84.912, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.29, "rotation_up": 12.01, "upward_expansion": 14.31, "deceleration": 38.11, "rotation_down": 69.36, "downward_expansion": 89.98 }, "activity_lines": [ 48.918449, 49.085478, 49.227626, 49.385951 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 49.0179, "trend_reference": 49.588176, "distance_from_trend": -0.0115, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 48.012052, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.02095, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.802715, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.017766, "excess_performance": -0.205219, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.0115, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.004481, "read": "Falling" 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"invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.001242, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.015218, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.008406, "worst_return": -0.005922, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.439728, "energy": 25.152907, "activity_lines": [ 49.355982, 49.335152, 49.439102, 49.576996 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 49.201961, "volume": 10059, "typical_volume": 4153.85, "trend": 49.690767, "fair_value": 47.991948, "relative_strength": -11.09263, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.993777, "energy": 30.881174, "activity_lines": [ 49.288834, 49.314072, 49.4014, 49.544066 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 48.783696, "volume": 4989, "typical_volume": 4291.75, "trend": 49.652294, "fair_value": 47.998333, "relative_strength": -10.113911, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.092874, "energy": 62.215046, "activity_lines": [ 49.09498, 49.2248, 49.332014, 49.485545 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 48.7074, "volume": 2512, "typical_volume": 4277.1, "trend": 49.616719, "fair_value": 48.004006, "relative_strength": -10.362344, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.981937, "energy": 72.344749, "activity_lines": [ 48.923119, 49.123502, 49.262404, 49.424585 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 49.0179, "volume": 810, "typical_volume": 3814.25, "trend": 49.588176, "fair_value": 48.012052, "relative_strength": -13.802715, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.134884, "energy": 64.71378, "activity_lines": [ 48.918449, 49.085478, 49.227626, 49.385951 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }