{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d757774c-1514-48d0-bf99-c1a08d7d6fce", "symbol": "ZENITHEXPO", "name": "Zenith Exports Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 41.585, "architecture_energy": 22.234, "architecture_maturity": 31.407, "architecture_confidence": 52.704, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 60.46, "rotation_up": 38.26, "upward_expansion": 63.44, "deceleration": 55.63, "rotation_down": 26.43, "downward_expansion": 18.44 }, "activity_lines": [ 205.663997, 204.477452, 204.745236, 203.554041 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 216.509995, "trend_reference": 202.801998, "distance_from_trend": 0.067593, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 221.714487, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.023474, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -0.886883, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.007398, "excess_performance": 0.051107, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.067593, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.039898, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.023474, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.013179, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.008869, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.068912, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.007398, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.169672, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3004, "relative_activity": 1.805343, "balance": 1.169672, "dry_up": 0.8893, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.067099, "annualized_volatility": 0.324405, "from_high_reference": -0.384303, "from_low_reference": 0.24431 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 202.801998, "fair_value_reference": 221.714487, "structural_low": 174.0, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": -0.025591, "positive_rate": 0.384615, "directional_follow_through": 0.384615, "median_excess_return": -0.024069, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 1.392614, "worst_return": -0.340993, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.002201, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.048169, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.501002, "worst_return": -0.190381, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.011681, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.013871, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.476381, "worst_return": -0.219867, 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202.33418, 203.541998, 202.767848 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 200.899994, "volume": 1772, "typical_volume": 1627.4, "trend": 202.456665, "fair_value": 221.0125, "relative_strength": -7.365163, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -11.219833, "energy": 16.53871, "activity_lines": [ 200.418665, 201.917816, 203.421236, 202.647375 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 216.509995, "volume": 3004, "typical_volume": 1663.95, "trend": 202.801998, "fair_value": 221.714487, "relative_strength": -0.886883, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.585163, "energy": 22.234328, "activity_lines": [ 205.663997, 204.477452, 204.745236, 203.554041 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }