{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d7590f04-d9f2-4401-8159-3de93648ca1d",
    "symbol": "PEP",
    "name": "PepsiCo Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -57.116,
    "architecture_energy": 42.788,
    "architecture_maturity": 18.747,
    "architecture_confidence": 95.953,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 22.28,
        "rotation_up": 20.54,
        "upward_expansion": 5.97,
        "deceleration": 50.3,
        "rotation_down": 51.45,
        "downward_expansion": 76.97
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        142.74421,
        145.938447
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 139.02,
    "trend_reference": 149.311812,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.068928,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 148.124114,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.061463,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -17.127574,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.167458,
    "excess_performance": -0.354911,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.068928,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.003253,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.061463,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.07996,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.171276,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.060693,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.167458,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.47615,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
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      "relative_activity": 0.922608,
      "balance": 0.47615,
      "dry_up": 1.049644,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 6
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.05003,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.178975,
      "from_high_reference": -0.172264,
      "from_low_reference": 0.043601
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 148.124114,
      "structural_low": 133.73,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 13,
        "median_return": 0.007762,
        "positive_rate": 0.615385,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.384615,
        "median_excess_return": -0.037258,
        "regime_survival": 0.846154,
        "best_return": 0.045357,
        "worst_return": -0.096864,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
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        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.150001,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.187684,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.061897,
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      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "start": "2024-11-22",
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        "tenure": "Extended",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
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        "typical_volume": 36355028.1,
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        "relative_strength": -15.947748,
        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 36593095.2,
        "trend": 149.236997,
        "fair_value": 148.463577,
        "relative_strength": -14.571655,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -67.955042,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 139.56,
        "volume": 44243384,
        "typical_volume": 37457222.75,
        "trend": 149.245533,
        "fair_value": 148.293962,
        "relative_strength": -12.939373,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -60.31333,
        "energy": 51.812093,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 139.02,
        "volume": 34531204,
        "typical_volume": 37427805.0,
        "trend": 149.311812,
        "fair_value": 148.124114,
        "relative_strength": -17.127574,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -57.116177,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}