{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d762b89b-6766-4c94-9a78-fe32a2d9982b",
    "symbol": "CHSPI",
    "name": "iShares Core SPI ETF (CH)",
    "exchange": "EBS",
    "country": "CH",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SSMI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 81.061,
    "architecture_energy": 69.253,
    "architecture_maturity": 34.957,
    "architecture_confidence": 83.244,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 5.06,
        "rotation_up": 67.1,
        "upward_expansion": 87.67,
        "deceleration": 56.03,
        "rotation_down": 22.4,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        171.892807,
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        167.013622,
        164.177566
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 174.100006,
    "trend_reference": 161.246399,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.079714,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 138.775308,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.254546,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 1.032588,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.096807,
    "excess_performance": 0.013924,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.079714,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.037507,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.254546,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.081329,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.010326,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.014088,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.096807,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.868076,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 264446,
      "relative_activity": 0.94714,
      "balance": 2.868076,
      "dry_up": 1.155432,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.01971,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.146507,
      "from_high_reference": -0.004574,
      "from_low_reference": 0.239663
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 161.246399,
      "fair_value_reference": 138.775308,
      "structural_low": 143.379701,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 36,
        "median_return": 0.002361,
        "positive_rate": 0.555556,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.555556,
        "median_excess_return": 0.001361,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.048362,
        "worst_return": -0.083981,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.006343,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.003288,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.100173,
        "worst_return": -0.057403,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.059178,
        "positive_rate": 0.857143,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.857143,
        "median_excess_return": 0.022239,
        "regime_survival": 0.571429,
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        "worst_return": -0.117073,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "positive_rate": 0.75,
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        "median_excess_return": 0.029944,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
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        "worst_return": -0.064054,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
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      },
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      },
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        "fair_value": 137.796773,
        "relative_strength": 0.665353,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 170.360001,
        "volume": 346815,
        "typical_volume": 293102.0,
        "trend": 160.166405,
        "fair_value": 138.102075,
        "relative_strength": 0.383725,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 67.351711,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 171.139999,
        "volume": 406520,
        "typical_volume": 291775.85,
        "trend": 160.697089,
        "fair_value": 138.428015,
        "relative_strength": 0.704368,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.042685,
        "energy": 66.003559,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 174.100006,
        "volume": 264446,
        "typical_volume": 279204.75,
        "trend": 161.246399,
        "fair_value": 138.775308,
        "relative_strength": 1.032588,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.060685,
        "energy": 69.253165,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}