{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d762c717-f9ac-4d3c-9bfc-7dc048cd426e", "symbol": "YMIB", "name": "Mistral Iberia Real Estate SOCIMI, S.A.", "exchange": "MCE", "country": "ES", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^IBEX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 82.732, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -87.837, "architecture_energy": 95.044, "architecture_maturity": 8.142, "architecture_confidence": 80.848, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.25, "rotation_up": 18.67, "upward_expansion": 31.33, "deceleration": 25.67, "rotation_down": 77.85, "downward_expansion": 90.66 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.021, 1.035727, 1.042595, 1.046161 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 0.995, "trend_reference": 1.049333, "distance_from_trend": -0.051779, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.92597, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.074549, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -19.154957, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.052381, "excess_performance": -0.176812, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.051779, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.002535, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.074549, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.084697, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.19155, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.115337, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.052381, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.053191, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 500, "relative_activity": 0.113513, "balance": 0.053191, "dry_up": 1.208908, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.01005, "annualized_volatility": 0.104405, "from_high_reference": -0.061321, "from_low_reference": 0.015306 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.049333, "fair_value_reference": 0.92597, "structural_low": 0.98, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, 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25.573946, "energy": 26.296126, "activity_lines": [ 1.056, 1.052727, 1.052333, 1.052624 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.06, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 3401.45, "trend": 1.053, "fair_value": 0.921829, "relative_strength": -10.814416, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 34.049718, "energy": 33.86426, "activity_lines": [ 1.058, 1.054364, 1.052952, 1.053097 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.06, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 3340.1, "trend": 1.053333, "fair_value": 0.923487, "relative_strength": -12.225127, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.508885, "energy": 49.207687, "activity_lines": [ 1.059333, 1.055818, 1.053524, 1.053548 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.995, "volume": 20800, "typical_volume": 4379.8, "trend": 1.051167, "fair_value": 0.924728, "relative_strength": -18.069269, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.649715, "energy": 68.551496, "activity_lines": [ 1.038333, 1.045273, 1.047905, 1.049785 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.995, "volume": 500, "typical_volume": 4404.8, "trend": 1.049333, "fair_value": 0.92597, "relative_strength": -19.154957, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -87.836851, "energy": 95.043721, "activity_lines": [ 1.021, 1.035727, 1.042595, 1.046161 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }