{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d77db230-7744-4a89-9ff3-6e75d1443a9a",
    "symbol": "OBK",
    "name": "Origin Bancorp, Inc.",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 69.609,
    "architecture_energy": 64.447,
    "architecture_maturity": 46.609,
    "architecture_confidence": 84.561,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 1.21,
        "rotation_up": 72.72,
        "upward_expansion": 89.22,
        "deceleration": 52.38,
        "rotation_down": 17.09,
        "downward_expansion": 11.22
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        53.650667,
        52.619091,
        50.50059,
        48.556668
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 53.84,
    "trend_reference": 46.216624,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.164949,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 35.160717,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.531254,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 15.176261,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.190482,
    "excess_performance": 0.064857,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.164949,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.118603,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.531254,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.134269,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.151763,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.058793,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.190482,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.7992,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 895737,
      "relative_activity": 1.113793,
      "balance": 1.7992,
      "dry_up": 1.075646,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.046005,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.199959,
      "from_high_reference": -0.031132,
      "from_low_reference": 0.698233
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 46.216624,
      "fair_value_reference": 35.160717,
      "structural_low": 39.249203,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 20,
        "median_return": -0.009978,
        "positive_rate": 0.45,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.45,
        "median_excess_return": -0.027442,
        "regime_survival": 0.7,
        "best_return": 0.147452,
        "worst_return": -0.180246,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.021933,
        "positive_rate": 0.375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.375,
        "median_excess_return": -0.017714,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
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        "worst_return": -0.123481,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.002503,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.034329,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
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        "worst_return": -0.173548,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.074436,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 53.62,
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        "typical_volume": 803933.85,
        "trend": 45.145827,
        "fair_value": 34.859318,
        "relative_strength": 21.221596,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 54.73,
        "volume": 866812,
        "typical_volume": 806566.6,
        "trend": 45.726619,
        "fair_value": 35.011077,
        "relative_strength": 21.732009,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.777122,
        "energy": 74.457986,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 53.84,
        "volume": 895737,
        "typical_volume": 804222.5,
        "trend": 46.216624,
        "fair_value": 35.160717,
        "relative_strength": 15.176261,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.609181,
        "energy": 64.446841,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}