{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d7b9fc01-b09c-4967-bcbe-5d9a286ee3b8", "symbol": "002301", "name": "Shenzhen Comix Group Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 61.649, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -37.406, "architecture_energy": 29.485, "architecture_maturity": 20.007, "architecture_confidence": 65.722, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.23, "rotation_up": 13.13, "upward_expansion": 13.23, "deceleration": 48.79, "rotation_down": 56.12, "downward_expansion": 65.23 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.036, 7.279417, 7.391014, 7.37714 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 7.07, "trend_reference": 7.442824, "distance_from_trend": -0.050092, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 6.594768, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.072062, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -5.296391, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.09359, "excess_performance": -0.100989, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.050092, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.005356, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.072062, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.031846, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.052964, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.122895, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.09359, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.336381, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 69741965, "relative_activity": 0.88535, "balance": 1.336381, "dry_up": 1.301154, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.123729, "annualized_volatility": 0.455067, "from_high_reference": -0.210056, "from_low_reference": 0.166262 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.442824, "fair_value_reference": 6.594768, "structural_low": 6.36, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": -0.011314, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.006063, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.133217, "worst_return": -0.243478, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.017403, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.012855, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.076369, "worst_return": -0.243478, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.012465, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.048406, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.058906, "worst_return": -0.309933, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 18.405968, "energy": 19.981638, "activity_lines": [ 7.837925, 7.738117, 7.558415, 7.516977 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.64, "volume": 139600902, "typical_volume": 76483158.15, "trend": 7.49849, "fair_value": 6.594708, "relative_strength": -8.533062, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -16.338767, "energy": 9.696639, "activity_lines": [ 7.474, 7.532138, 7.486487, 7.459182 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.62, "volume": 86007796, "typical_volume": 78519882.55, "trend": 7.463157, "fair_value": 6.593079, "relative_strength": -7.008922, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.050742, "energy": 28.271512, "activity_lines": [ 7.170667, 7.349728, 7.415846, 7.402505 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.07, "volume": 69741965, "typical_volume": 78773338.15, "trend": 7.442824, "fair_value": 6.594768, "relative_strength": -5.296391, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.406486, "energy": 29.484694, "activity_lines": [ 7.036, 7.279417, 7.391014, 7.37714 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }