{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d7c29a34-fed4-43a1-8cdb-dbf621e4100d", "symbol": "TOK", "name": "ISHARES TRUST MSCI KOKUSAI ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 93.911, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 86.545, "architecture_energy": 65.325, "architecture_maturity": 42.968, "architecture_confidence": 83.919, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.86, "rotation_up": 61.51, "upward_expansion": 83.44, "deceleration": 57.44, "rotation_down": 24.47, "downward_expansion": 10.11 }, "activity_lines": [ 152.144353, 151.028673, 149.380082, 146.668423 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 155.9, "trend_reference": 143.668816, "distance_from_trend": 0.085135, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 117.310729, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.328949, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -0.226209, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.113136, "excess_performance": -0.012489, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.085135, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.033919, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.328949, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.012197, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.002262, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.007342, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.113136, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.070372, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 12498, "relative_activity": 1.290016, "balance": 4.070372, "dry_up": 0.787062, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.018947, "annualized_volatility": 0.135361, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.229357 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 143.668816, "fair_value_reference": 117.310729, "structural_low": 128.631018, 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141.88722, "fair_value": 115.718129, "relative_strength": -0.653623, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.779682, "energy": 59.901757, "activity_lines": [ 150.00372, 149.533248, 146.61215, 144.349103 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 150.1243, "volume": 4637, "typical_volume": 9762.55, "trend": 142.335483, "fair_value": 116.103053, "relative_strength": -0.052679, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.218109, "energy": 55.222614, "activity_lines": [ 150.161627, 149.716359, 147.259927, 144.880527 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 149.0028, "volume": 4330, "typical_volume": 8923.6, "trend": 142.684083, "fair_value": 116.476318, "relative_strength": -0.207364, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.743281, "energy": 52.699456, "activity_lines": [ 149.866747, 149.649382, 147.75362, 145.310677 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 150.96, "volume": 9036, "typical_volume": 9296.35, "trend": 143.130849, "fair_value": 116.876862, "relative_strength": 0.001606, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.711729, "energy": 53.026871, "activity_lines": [ 150.298113, 149.906038, 148.372398, 145.844607 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 155.9, "volume": 12498, "typical_volume": 9688.25, "trend": 143.668816, "fair_value": 117.310729, "relative_strength": -0.226209, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.544706, "energy": 65.324638, "activity_lines": [ 152.144353, 151.028673, 149.380082, 146.668423 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }