{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d7c4bf62-c63b-41f4-8b93-b27a7563997b", "symbol": "XRME", "name": "Xtrackers MSCI USA Screened UCITS ETF 2C EUR Hedged", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 90.69, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 82.524, "architecture_energy": 55.632, "architecture_maturity": 63.665, "architecture_confidence": 70.157, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.08, "rotation_up": 49.92, "upward_expansion": 79.28, "deceleration": 69.36, "rotation_down": 28.24, "downward_expansion": 8.28 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.090133, 13.038, 12.928648, 12.671699 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 13.464, "trend_reference": 12.392, "distance_from_trend": 0.086507, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 10.380288, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.297074, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 2.642256, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.124624, "excess_performance": 0.059984, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.086507, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.029242, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.297074, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.008811, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.026423, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.067426, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.124624, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 13.839579, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1878, "relative_activity": 0.357776, "balance": 13.839579, "dry_up": 0.250329, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.020476, "annualized_volatility": 0.147317, "from_high_reference": -0.000594, "from_low_reference": 0.228243 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 12.392, "fair_value_reference": 10.380288, "structural_low": 10.962, "invalidation": 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12.710962, 12.484727 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 12.938, "volume": 1677, "typical_volume": 9045.55, "trend": 12.296667, "fair_value": 10.282493, "relative_strength": 5.068797, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.860128, "energy": 49.414557, "activity_lines": [ 12.997467, 13.002, 12.76459, 12.528116 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 12.874, "volume": 1198, "typical_volume": 6120.25, "trend": 12.321933, "fair_value": 10.313057, "relative_strength": 3.236266, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.146586, "energy": 46.319324, "activity_lines": [ 12.960667, 12.978364, 12.807086, 12.565363 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12.856, "volume": 503, "typical_volume": 5191.6, "trend": 12.349867, "fair_value": 10.344256, "relative_strength": 0.828325, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.277093, "energy": 37.12402, "activity_lines": [ 12.926933, 12.951636, 12.842219, 12.599819 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.464, "volume": 1878, "typical_volume": 5249.1, "trend": 12.392, "fair_value": 10.380288, "relative_strength": 2.642256, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.524383, "energy": 55.631565, "activity_lines": [ 13.090133, 13.038, 12.928648, 12.671699 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }