{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d7ca71ec-9cf3-4a73-95c6-2fb8d3e93d41", "symbol": "PEACE", "name": "Peace & Living Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -74.654, "architecture_energy": 62.408, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.01, "rotation_up": 22.87, "upward_expansion": 11.04, "deceleration": 45.57, "rotation_down": 59.42, "downward_expansion": 84.37 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.478, 1.498182, 1.547333, 1.594495 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 1.44, "trend_reference": 1.65709, "distance_from_trend": -0.131007, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.368054, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.391906, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -30.44909, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.190559, "excess_performance": -0.382884, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.131007, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.071155, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.391906, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.05566, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.304491, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.063506, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.190559, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.287683, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 836100, "relative_activity": 3.158969, "balance": 0.287683, "dry_up": 1.514499, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.050214, "annualized_volatility": 0.221228, "from_high_reference": -0.297466, "from_low_reference": 0.035971 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.65709, "fair_value_reference": 2.368054, "structural_low": 1.39, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 36, "median_return": -0.015178, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.638889, "median_excess_return": -0.022564, "regime_survival": 0.944444, "best_return": 0.054545, "worst_return": -0.095745, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.076923, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.909091, "median_excess_return": -0.05518, "regime_survival": 0.909091, "best_return": 0.0, "worst_return": -0.127551, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.108695, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.106426, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.04712, "worst_return": -0.203669, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-02-07", "end": "2025-02-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-02-14", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.379041, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 3.528347, "volume": 526600, "typical_volume": 345990.0, "trend": 3.79565, "fair_value": 3.867369, "relative_strength": -4.485328, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.809341, "energy": 56.093685, "activity_lines": [ 3.581152, 3.613446, 3.653074, 3.697734 ] }, { "date": "2023-08-25", "close": 3.690363, "volume": 334200, "typical_volume": 340220.0, "trend": 3.781021, "fair_value": 3.865184, "relative_strength": -2.880165, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.492163, "energy": 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51.53406, "activity_lines": [ 1.562, 1.585273, 1.637397, 1.677273 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 1.52, "volume": 100000, "typical_volume": 247060.0, "trend": 1.722383, "fair_value": 2.436643, "relative_strength": -30.401384, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.131153, "energy": 58.492803, "activity_lines": [ 1.545333, 1.568182, 1.622394, 1.663368 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 1.47, "volume": 305500, "typical_volume": 236050.0, "trend": 1.707893, "fair_value": 2.422525, "relative_strength": -32.281231, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.360835, "energy": 70.774626, "activity_lines": [ 1.516, 1.545273, 1.60377, 1.647085 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.5, "volume": 354600, "typical_volume": 246965.0, "trend": 1.695048, "fair_value": 2.408946, "relative_strength": -30.842148, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.771585, "energy": 73.480765, "activity_lines": [ 1.505333, 1.532, 1.589336, 1.633672 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.5, "volume": 141500, "typical_volume": 239805.0, "trend": 1.682203, "fair_value": 2.395482, "relative_strength": -30.321383, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.911058, "energy": 72.861757, "activity_lines": [ 1.499333, 1.522182, 1.576048, 1.621089 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.5, "volume": 271200, "typical_volume": 241995.0, "trend": 1.670002, "fair_value": 2.381903, "relative_strength": -28.823871, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.777797, "energy": 65.433197, "activity_lines": [ 1.497333, 1.515273, 1.563857, 1.609334 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.44, "volume": 836100, "typical_volume": 264675.0, "trend": 1.65709, "fair_value": 2.368054, "relative_strength": -30.44909, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.653737, "energy": 62.407573, "activity_lines": [ 1.478, 1.498182, 1.547333, 1.594495 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }