{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d7e0be7a-50d7-448d-8d5e-78a9dc22be40", "symbol": "V1RS34", "name": "Verisk Analytics, Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 69.356, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 29.852, "architecture_energy": 71.635, "architecture_maturity": 5.088, "architecture_confidence": 52.756, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.2, "rotation_up": 72.34, "upward_expansion": 60.18, "deceleration": 17.71, "rotation_down": 14.01, "downward_expansion": 32.85 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.271333, 12.840293, 12.327117, 12.438006 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 12.93, "trend_reference": 12.756481, "distance_from_trend": 0.013602, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 17.449918, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.259022, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -17.108961, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.034639, "excess_performance": 0.091687, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.013602, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.084738, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.259022, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.118036, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.17109, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.307812, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.034639, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.357766, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 569, "relative_activity": 2.798131, "balance": 0.357766, "dry_up": 0.923285, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.036233, "annualized_volatility": 0.518295, "from_high_reference": -0.409653, "from_low_reference": 0.201768 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 12.756481, "fair_value_reference": 17.449918, "structural_low": 10.759148, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.065083, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.068531, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.185811, "worst_return": 0.0, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.225306, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.134385, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.275909, "worst_return": -0.015338, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.293543, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.258798, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.40123, "worst_return": -0.020684, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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-25.542111, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -7.047414, "energy": 19.486144, "activity_lines": [ 12.201333, 11.891577, 11.976016, 12.364693 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 12.87, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 172.3, "trend": 13.001252, "fair_value": 17.471032, "relative_strength": -22.378171, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 20.192657, "energy": 37.660379, "activity_lines": [ 12.472667, 12.122103, 12.026652, 12.349729 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 12.87, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 166.45, "trend": 12.896562, "fair_value": 17.462266, "relative_strength": -21.092232, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 20.7172, "energy": 47.075136, "activity_lines": [ 12.679333, 12.318243, 12.075513, 12.341261 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 14.3, "volume": 182, "typical_volume": 175.0, "trend": 12.833883, "fair_value": 17.46216, "relative_strength": -12.751169, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 57.99989, "energy": 83.236535, "activity_lines": [ 13.297333, 12.736003, 12.270339, 12.431805 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.93, "volume": 569, "typical_volume": 203.35, "trend": 12.756481, "fair_value": 17.449918, "relative_strength": -17.108961, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 29.851768, "energy": 71.634601, "activity_lines": [ 13.271333, 12.840293, 12.327117, 12.438006 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }