{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d7e6b24c-2a6a-4a83-a00f-687af70b2d26", "symbol": "EIHAHOTELS", "name": "EIH Associated Hotels Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -54.667, "architecture_energy": 39.257, "architecture_maturity": 28.017, "architecture_confidence": 92.789, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.31, "rotation_up": 15.87, "upward_expansion": 8.63, "deceleration": 39.81, "rotation_down": 54.48, "downward_expansion": 77.29 }, "activity_lines": [ 308.191412, 311.829076, 313.977106, 314.795775 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 302.549988, "trend_reference": 318.546143, "distance_from_trend": -0.050216, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 346.744638, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.127456, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -11.005135, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.152284, "excess_performance": -0.108574, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.050216, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.047889, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.127456, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.103629, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.110051, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.068018, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.152284, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.577813, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 158443, "relative_activity": 1.60631, "balance": 0.577813, "dry_up": 1.097758, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.059418, "annualized_volatility": 0.271697, "from_high_reference": -0.304323, "from_low_reference": 0.134633 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 318.546143, "fair_value_reference": 346.744638, "structural_low": 266.649994, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.006824, "positive_rate": 0.631579, "directional_follow_through": 0.631579, "median_excess_return": 0.018862, "regime_survival": 0.473684, "best_return": 0.331288, "worst_return": -0.160693, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.091042, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.064211, "regime_survival": 0.111111, "best_return": 0.478323, "worst_return": -0.180168, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.084566, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.007654, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.612913, 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{ "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 308.950012, "volume": 87826, "typical_volume": 98553.25, "trend": 319.789477, "fair_value": 346.23455, "relative_strength": -8.792801, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.022798, "energy": 25.735867, "activity_lines": [ 312.177462, 313.738793, 315.02108, 315.908 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 302.549988, "volume": 158443, "typical_volume": 98637.9, "trend": 318.546143, "fair_value": 346.744638, "relative_strength": -11.005135, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.66679, "energy": 39.25712, "activity_lines": [ 308.191412, 311.829076, 313.977106, 314.795775 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }