{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d7eaafec-90ee-41ef-aa29-64d926862b03", "symbol": "DIOS", "name": "Di\u00f6s Fastigheter AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 50.929, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 33.125, "architecture_energy": 34.11, "architecture_maturity": 22.716, "architecture_confidence": 44.755, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.27, "rotation_up": 52.96, "upward_expansion": 53.13, "deceleration": 27.37, "rotation_down": 24.4, "downward_expansion": 16.13 }, "activity_lines": [ 66.443334, 65.862062, 65.572125, 65.514042 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 67.75, "trend_reference": 65.525264, "distance_from_trend": 0.033952, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 70.160663, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.034359, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -6.994777, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.045167, "excess_performance": -0.016327, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.033952, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.009961, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.034359, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.04418, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.069948, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.023995, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.045167, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.782081, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 938982, "relative_activity": 1.120131, "balance": 1.782081, "dry_up": 0.793236, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.03744, "annualized_volatility": 0.243298, "from_high_reference": -0.051378, "from_low_reference": 0.150651 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 65.525264, "fair_value_reference": 70.160663, "structural_low": 58.879735, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": -0.009569, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.025361, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.094887, "worst_return": -0.156974, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.03744, "positive_rate": 0.111111, "directional_follow_through": 0.111111, "median_excess_return": -0.079558, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.001452, "worst_return": -0.278321, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.082337, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": -0.164881, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.019004, "worst_return": -0.295088, 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66.650002, "volume": 703210, "typical_volume": 984592.2, "trend": 65.19933, "fair_value": 70.159526, "relative_strength": -6.012909, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 8.897577, "energy": 3.903796, "activity_lines": [ 65.325069, 65.112048, 65.126467, 65.282218 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 66.400002, "volume": 526780, "typical_volume": 898690.5, "trend": 65.348017, "fair_value": 70.16243, "relative_strength": -5.129254, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 20.10098, "energy": 15.193313, "activity_lines": [ 65.841079, 65.352279, 65.235328, 65.359681 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 65.150002, "volume": 575807, "typical_volume": 866522.05, "trend": 65.422292, "fair_value": 70.142807, "relative_strength": -8.108667, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 6.270306, "energy": 12.17805, "activity_lines": [ 65.808078, 65.33251, 65.240267, 65.346906 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 65.75, "volume": 618243, "typical_volume": 846075.6, "trend": 65.487094, "fair_value": 70.143057, "relative_strength": -8.277252, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 8.307245, "energy": 12.19452, "activity_lines": [ 65.846788, 65.411831, 65.311634, 65.368048 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 67.75, "volume": 938982, "typical_volume": 838278.4, "trend": 65.525264, "fair_value": 70.160663, "relative_strength": -6.994777, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 33.125045, "energy": 34.110296, "activity_lines": [ 66.443334, 65.862062, 65.572125, 65.514042 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }