{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d7eae674-257b-41f5-99c3-b4ec7b5f6608", "symbol": "600582", "name": "Tiandi Science & Technology Co.Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -44.11, "architecture_energy": 33.434, "architecture_maturity": 94.899, "architecture_confidence": 83.08, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.61, "rotation_up": 27.17, "upward_expansion": 17.2, "deceleration": 46.99, "rotation_down": 34.21, "downward_expansion": 64.87 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.823333, 4.792079, 4.941324, 5.146016 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 4.8, "trend_reference": 5.413799, "distance_from_trend": -0.113377, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.700596, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.157983, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -14.971539, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.20398, "excess_performance": -0.160776, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.113377, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.063679, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.157983, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.097012, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.149715, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.031524, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.20398, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.099674, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 110138139, "relative_activity": 1.036412, "balance": 1.099674, "dry_up": 1.0801, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.060016, "annualized_volatility": 0.269622, "from_high_reference": -0.261538, "from_low_reference": 0.113689 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.413799, "fair_value_reference": 5.700596, "structural_low": 4.31, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.018411, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.033073, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.170732, "worst_return": -0.122873, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.067857, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.006442, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.315068, "worst_return": -0.114853, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.177412, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.131432, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.441178, "worst_return": -0.168654, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"blue", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-07-11", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.072122, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.004839, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.008361, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2025-10-24", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.042159, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-10-31", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.006689, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-12-12", "end": "2026-02-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.02385, "active": false 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127819972, "typical_volume": 119275467.95, "trend": 5.476799, "fair_value": 5.706337, "relative_strength": -13.192007, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.129727, "energy": 56.739759, "activity_lines": [ 4.726, 4.79642, 5.005838, 5.223109 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.93, "volume": 115099539, "typical_volume": 110643138.0, "trend": 5.448132, "fair_value": 5.704, "relative_strength": -10.855632, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.052486, "energy": 42.185972, "activity_lines": [ 4.815333, 4.80463, 4.976581, 5.187831 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.8, "volume": 110138139, "typical_volume": 106268719.4, "trend": 5.413799, "fair_value": 5.700596, "relative_strength": -14.971539, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.110478, "energy": 33.434265, "activity_lines": [ 4.823333, 4.792079, 4.941324, 5.146016 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }