{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d7f2e827-ef0c-496e-9bc7-4c88e302e51f", "symbol": "FCONSUMER", "name": "Future Consumer Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -89.582, "architecture_energy": 95.671, "architecture_maturity": 74.842, "architecture_confidence": 74.419, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 4.33, "rotation_up": 8.25, "upward_expansion": 21.95, "deceleration": 37.01, "rotation_down": 88.79, "downward_expansion": 99.95 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.273333, 0.287091, 0.304476, 0.313957 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.26, "trend_reference": 0.329333, "distance_from_trend": -0.210526, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.610962, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.574441, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -30.032143, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.277778, "excess_performance": -0.234069, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.210526, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.137871, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.574441, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.102897, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.300321, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.162323, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.277778, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.0, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4920906, "relative_activity": 2.22029, "balance": 0.0, "dry_up": 1.404373, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.053254, "annualized_volatility": 0.178876, "from_high_reference": -0.5, "from_low_reference": 0.0 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.329333, "fair_value_reference": 0.610962, "structural_low": 0.26, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 41, "median_return": -0.052632, "positive_rate": 0.341463, "directional_follow_through": 0.658537, "median_excess_return": -0.05698, "regime_survival": 0.853659, "best_return": 0.636364, "worst_return": -0.520408, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.097317, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.642857, "median_excess_return": -0.118807, "regime_survival": 0.642857, "best_return": 0.636364, "worst_return": -0.661017, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.227273, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.287909, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": -0.185185, "worst_return": -0.692308, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-07-05", "end": "2024-07-19", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.104167, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-07-26", "end": "2024-08-09", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.08642, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-08-16", "end": "2025-01-03", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.085714, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-01-10", "end": "2025-02-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.181818, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-02-14", "end": "2025-02-28", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.018868, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-03-07", "end": "2025-07-04", "tenure": "Established", 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67.758471, "activity_lines": [ 0.308, 0.315636, 0.322476, 0.331419 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.29, "volume": 3101807, "typical_volume": 2026737.35, "trend": 0.345333, "fair_value": 0.620513, "relative_strength": -23.486246, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -84.279206, "energy": 83.733306, "activity_lines": [ 0.301333, 0.309455, 0.318905, 0.327462 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.28, "volume": 1159816, "typical_volume": 1990454.4, "trend": 0.339667, "fair_value": 0.617179, "relative_strength": -23.613141, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -87.633653, "energy": 93.172425, "activity_lines": [ 0.292667, 0.302545, 0.314714, 0.323247 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.27, "volume": 3267712, "typical_volume": 2062231.5, "trend": 0.334333, "fair_value": 0.613782, "relative_strength": -27.510828, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -90.188491, "energy": 95.571489, "activity_lines": [ 0.283333, 0.295091, 0.309905, 0.318753 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.26, "volume": 4920906, "typical_volume": 2216335.1, "trend": 0.329333, "fair_value": 0.610962, "relative_strength": -30.032143, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -89.581903, "energy": 95.671456, "activity_lines": [ 0.273333, 0.287091, 0.304476, 0.313957 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }