{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d8012ae9-9162-4a80-839b-629d81ad747e", "symbol": "301548", "name": "Hunan SUND Technological Corporation", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 57.558, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -33.189, "architecture_energy": 60.92, "architecture_maturity": 14.29, "architecture_confidence": 67.178, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.44, "rotation_up": 18.76, "upward_expansion": 23.25, "deceleration": 41.16, "rotation_down": 67.19, "downward_expansion": 57.91 }, "activity_lines": [ 63.490001, 70.687819, 75.173576, 75.817572 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 65.660004, "trend_reference": 75.35269, "distance_from_trend": -0.128631, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 50.890786, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.290214, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -1.86214, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.03332, "excess_performance": -0.04072, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.128631, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.103768, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.290214, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.432068, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.018621, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.194629, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.03332, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.529945, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 10749585, "relative_activity": 1.309584, "balance": 0.529945, "dry_up": 1.319543, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.157343, "annualized_volatility": 0.751537, "from_high_reference": -0.330602, "from_low_reference": 0.373925 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 75.35269, "fair_value_reference": 50.890786, "structural_low": 54.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, 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"close": 57.02, "volume": 9668717, "typical_volume": 8120140.9, "trend": 74.998862, "fair_value": 50.790315, "relative_strength": -10.142406, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -48.67511, "energy": 61.011921, "activity_lines": [ 65.36, 72.470727, 76.192591, 76.420079 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 65.660004, "volume": 10749585, "typical_volume": 8208398.15, "trend": 75.35269, "fair_value": 50.890786, "relative_strength": -1.86214, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -33.188673, "energy": 60.920475, "activity_lines": [ 63.490001, 70.687819, 75.173576, 75.817572 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }