{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d81456c6-3255-434b-ad4a-610e369835e1", "symbol": "SOXS", "name": "DIREXION DAILY SEMICONDUCTOR BEAR 3X ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.126, "architecture_energy": 63.511, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 88.436, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.68, "rotation_up": 28.0, "upward_expansion": 22.5, "deceleration": 46.68, "rotation_down": 49.7, "downward_expansion": 70.17 }, "activity_lines": [ 48.838, 47.515132, 67.233623, 124.798072 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 42.08, "trend_reference": 203.747301, "distance_from_trend": -0.79347, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4879.76921, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.991377, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -92.56164, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.885563, "excess_performance": -1.011188, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.79347, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.494329, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.991377, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.004985, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.925616, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.00733, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.885563, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.904137, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 345273332, "relative_activity": 0.214925, "balance": 0.904137, "dry_up": 0.366767, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.460875, "annualized_volatility": 1.346519, "from_high_reference": -0.97225, "from_low_reference": 0.327445 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 203.747301, "fair_value_reference": 4879.76921, 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"relative_strength": -91.505292, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.312241, "energy": 82.974767, "activity_lines": [ 48.803333, 48.649098, 84.7283, 147.733119 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 54.27, "volume": 386645036, "typical_volume": 1598828941.4, "trend": 217.813518, "fair_value": 5001.483216, "relative_strength": -90.616997, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.430894, "energy": 65.25784, "activity_lines": [ 51.248, 48.987396, 75.723847, 136.135719 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 42.08, "volume": 345273332, "typical_volume": 1606485241.5, "trend": 203.747301, "fair_value": 4879.76921, "relative_strength": -92.56164, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.125514, "energy": 63.510708, "activity_lines": [ 48.838, 47.515132, 67.233623, 124.798072 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }