{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d817a019-f8c1-4d37-a36d-06dd448bbe4d", "symbol": "601061", "name": "CITIC Metal Co., Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -43.571, "architecture_energy": 29.661, "architecture_maturity": 57.733, "architecture_confidence": 76.63, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.85, "rotation_up": 25.18, "upward_expansion": 15.37, "deceleration": 46.51, "rotation_down": 38.31, "downward_expansion": 65.37 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.397366, 11.201209, 11.816212, 12.25027 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 12.16, "trend_reference": 12.98721, "distance_from_trend": -0.063694, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 9.112804, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.334386, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -1.245557, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.186078, "excess_performance": -0.142874, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.063694, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.076029, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.334386, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.32197, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.012456, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.19698, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.186078, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.107006, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 111043138, "relative_activity": 1.384293, "balance": 1.107006, "dry_up": 1.410922, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.096582, "annualized_volatility": 0.480143, "from_high_reference": -0.316859, "from_low_reference": 0.566332 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 12.98721, "fair_value_reference": 9.112804, "structural_low": 9.82, 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11.816482, 12.308232 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.16, "volume": 111043138, "typical_volume": 80216513.85, "trend": 12.98721, "fair_value": 9.112804, "relative_strength": -1.245557, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.570588, "energy": 29.66076, "activity_lines": [ 11.397366, 11.201209, 11.816212, 12.25027 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }