{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d81e3dd9-e406-494e-aa98-338a9f3423f6", "symbol": "LIME", "name": "Lime Technologies AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 32.392, "architecture_energy": 23.763, "architecture_maturity": 10.294, "architecture_confidence": 46.851, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 50.48, "rotation_up": 54.72, "upward_expansion": 40.53, "deceleration": 40.04, "rotation_down": 20.96, "downward_expansion": 14.86 }, "activity_lines": [ 218.6, 213.518182, 213.28791, 212.250719 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 228.0, "trend_reference": 215.311568, "distance_from_trend": 0.058931, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 307.939017, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.259594, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -22.58126, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.059988, "excess_performance": -0.121482, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.058931, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.126599, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.259594, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.036835, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.225813, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.13076, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.059988, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.414762, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 166616, "relative_activity": 0.649803, "balance": 1.414762, "dry_up": 1.087457, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.074933, "annualized_volatility": 0.569777, "from_high_reference": -0.378335, "from_low_reference": 0.301147 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 215.311568, "fair_value_reference": 307.939017, "structural_low": 175.230001, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": 0.023622, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.015964, "regime_survival": 0.56, "best_return": 0.203647, "worst_return": -0.178571, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.000868, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.416667, "median_excess_return": 0.047608, "regime_survival": 0.416667, "best_return": 0.29771, "worst_return": -0.306795, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.089449, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.127961, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.29771, 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"relative_strength": -31.841829, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.430157, "energy": 30.36637, "activity_lines": [ 205.5, 207.990909, 210.504881, 212.939102 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 216.0, "volume": 491844, "typical_volume": 305280.65, "trend": 221.3964, "fair_value": 308.676495, "relative_strength": -26.482199, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -28.681439, "energy": 14.7149, "activity_lines": [ 209.4, 208.972727, 211.163167, 212.440173 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 204.5, "volume": 177891, "typical_volume": 272358.95, "trend": 218.824567, "fair_value": 308.294395, "relative_strength": -30.356565, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.064005, "energy": 15.702358, "activity_lines": [ 208.566667, 207.927273, 210.564129, 211.350082 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 222.0, "volume": 278989, "typical_volume": 265891.4, "trend": 217.215568, "fair_value": 308.089709, "relative_strength": -24.280048, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -4.780875, "energy": 6.220118, "activity_lines": [ 213.266667, 210.209091, 211.678591, 211.554949 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 228.0, "volume": 166616, "typical_volume": 256410.05, "trend": 215.311568, "fair_value": 307.939017, "relative_strength": -22.58126, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 32.392397, "energy": 23.762502, "activity_lines": [ 218.6, 213.518182, 213.28791, 212.250719 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }