{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d81ef978-4e15-4f4e-93be-4a1e52989256", "symbol": "IMRN", "name": "Immuron Ltd ADR", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 31.296, "architecture_energy": 14.13, "architecture_maturity": 28.685, "architecture_confidence": 77.517, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 48.73, "rotation_up": 29.44, "upward_expansion": 55.44, "deceleration": 84.5, "rotation_down": 26.25, "downward_expansion": 19.11 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.099667, 1.119273, 1.096576, 1.033476 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 1.031, "trend_reference": 0.968192, "distance_from_trend": 0.064871, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.792891, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.424951, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -28.830115, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.279474, "excess_performance": 0.09202, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.064871, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.040858, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.424951, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.142917, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.288301, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.242965, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.279474, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 8.597643, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 84259, "relative_activity": 0.103581, "balance": 8.597643, "dry_up": 0.153329, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.256077, "annualized_volatility": 0.869101, "from_high_reference": -0.568619, "from_low_reference": 0.524021 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.968192, "fair_value_reference": 1.792891, "structural_low": 0.68, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.1, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.08439, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.059524, "worst_return": -0.303947, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.413158, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.469071, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.225476, "worst_return": -0.630233, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.321053, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.41671, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": -0.317364, "worst_return": -0.627442, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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192772, "typical_volume": 814531.1, "trend": 0.952402, "fair_value": 1.804118, "relative_strength": -21.273636, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.187307, "energy": 24.071771, "activity_lines": [ 1.158667, 1.160727, 1.086878, 1.020162 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.09, "volume": 108423, "typical_volume": 814640.85, "trend": 0.962235, "fair_value": 1.798654, "relative_strength": -22.092638, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.510354, "energy": 22.251921, "activity_lines": [ 1.138667, 1.146182, 1.095267, 1.02904 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.031, "volume": 84259, "typical_volume": 813456.7, "trend": 0.968192, "fair_value": 1.792891, "relative_strength": -28.830115, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.296174, "energy": 14.130258, "activity_lines": [ 1.099667, 1.119273, 1.096576, 1.033476 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }