{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d822a424-c669-447a-9d41-aa8301066cfe",
    "symbol": "4348",
    "name": "Alkhabeer REIT Fund",
    "exchange": "SAU",
    "country": "SA",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^TASI.SR",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 59.88,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 37.903,
    "architecture_energy": 23.661,
    "architecture_maturity": 49.642,
    "architecture_confidence": 90.977,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 36.31,
        "rotation_up": 31.03,
        "upward_expansion": 57.45,
        "deceleration": 87.16,
        "rotation_down": 26.67,
        "downward_expansion": 18.78
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        5.722,
        5.724,
        5.720435,
        5.688049
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 5.71,
    "trend_reference": 5.644517,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.011601,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 5.40285,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.05685,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 4.258832,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.022883,
    "excess_performance": 0.054713,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.011601,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.0183,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.05685,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.001069,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.042588,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 7.6e-05,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.022883,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.927466,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 413312,
      "relative_activity": 0.749738,
      "balance": 1.927466,
      "dry_up": 1.205118,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.009088,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.050039,
      "from_high_reference": -0.010399,
      "from_low_reference": 0.076817
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 5.644517,
      "fair_value_reference": 5.40285,
      "structural_low": 5.400431,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.00809,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": 0.018715,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
        "best_return": 0.032028,
        "worst_return": -0.007512,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.028156,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.035203,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.040183,
        "worst_return": 0.016128,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.012695,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.027456,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.012695,
        "worst_return": -0.012695,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.009085,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.074156,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.009085,
        "worst_return": 0.009085,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-08-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.025334,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-09-06",
        "end": "2024-09-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.026016,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-09-20",
        "end": "2024-11-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.017197,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-11-22",
        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.051056,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-02-14",
        "end": "2025-02-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.006897,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-02-28",
        "end": "2025-05-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.019064,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-06-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.01669,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-06-20",
        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.054249,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-08-15",
        "end": "2025-12-26",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.002214,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-01-02",
        "end": "2026-01-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.035778,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "return": -0.014983,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2026-04-10",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "return": 0.001754,
        "active": true
      }
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      },
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        "relative_strength": 5.869958,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "direction": 41.21992,
        "energy": 30.141241,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 5.72,
        "volume": 1036286,
        "typical_volume": 535984.85,
        "trend": 5.62311,
        "fair_value": 5.400383,
        "relative_strength": 5.168385,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "direction": 38.897532,
        "energy": 26.040882,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 5.74,
        "volume": 545061,
        "typical_volume": 540730.85,
        "trend": 5.634795,
        "fair_value": 5.401791,
        "relative_strength": 7.427453,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 46.85314,
        "energy": 31.578767,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.726,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 5.71,
        "volume": 413312,
        "typical_volume": 551275.05,
        "trend": 5.644517,
        "fair_value": 5.40285,
        "relative_strength": 4.258832,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 37.902606,
        "energy": 23.661095,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}