{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d831edea-e7e8-4e88-9055-29f79b0ea38f", "symbol": "SUNFLAG", "name": "Sunflag Iron and Steel Company Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 93.491, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 72.373, "architecture_energy": 51.912, "architecture_maturity": 42.998, "architecture_confidence": 80.93, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.6, "rotation_up": 47.7, "upward_expansion": 76.54, "deceleration": 60.27, "rotation_down": 25.41, "downward_expansion": 7.88 }, "activity_lines": [ 365.753331, 358.909999, 353.130572, 329.721828 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 389.399994, "trend_reference": 300.623667, "distance_from_trend": 0.295307, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 246.872625, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.577332, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 37.042011, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.585699, "excess_performance": 0.629408, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.295307, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.124176, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.577332, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.213075, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.37042, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.248111, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.585699, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.864525, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2245081, "relative_activity": 0.797842, "balance": 0.864525, "dry_up": 0.451103, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.077229, "annualized_volatility": 0.626579, "from_high_reference": -0.090187, "from_low_reference": 1.026542 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 300.623667, "fair_value_reference": 246.872625, "structural_low": 192.149994, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": 0.010285, "positive_rate": 0.588235, "directional_follow_through": 0.588235, "median_excess_return": 0.000572, "regime_survival": 0.588235, "best_return": 0.325198, "worst_return": -0.187152, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.054984, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.060548, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.264025, "worst_return": -0.150086, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.011452, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.09312, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.330903, "worst_return": -0.157347, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-02-07", "end": "2025-03-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.027277, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-03-28", "end": "2025-06-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.265122, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-06-13", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.044902, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.136334, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.023005, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2025-11-14", "tenure": 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"gate": "up", "direction": 39.69846, "energy": 28.534333, "activity_lines": [ 348.793337, 357.14364, 334.540335, 311.546862 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 344.649994, "volume": 1123401, "typical_volume": 2722769.2, "trend": 290.112001, "fair_value": 244.155412, "relative_strength": 24.798173, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.388213, "energy": 24.256625, "activity_lines": [ 346.863334, 353.178183, 338.336192, 315.245119 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 348.700012, "volume": 948025, "typical_volume": 2748400.65, "trend": 292.918668, "fair_value": 244.970354, "relative_strength": 28.566919, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.38581, "energy": 23.378085, "activity_lines": [ 346.803339, 351.24364, 342.048193, 319.024991 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 365.299988, "volume": 760998, "typical_volume": 2740589.6, "trend": 295.980334, "fair_value": 245.763227, "relative_strength": 30.464053, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.281291, "energy": 31.205816, "activity_lines": [ 352.933333, 352.777273, 346.807191, 323.694753 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 389.399994, "volume": 2245081, "typical_volume": 2813940.1, "trend": 300.623667, "fair_value": 246.872625, "relative_strength": 37.042011, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.373017, "energy": 51.911692, "activity_lines": [ 365.753331, 358.909999, 353.130572, 329.721828 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }