{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d844f7b3-5107-4e92-a95b-b86b76f74b53", "symbol": "688443", "name": "Chongqing Genrix Biopharmaceutical Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -44.427, "architecture_energy": 30.753, "architecture_maturity": 41.327, "architecture_confidence": 70.15, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.3, "rotation_up": 22.54, "upward_expansion": 10.45, "deceleration": 63.58, "rotation_down": 42.35, "downward_expansion": 69.45 }, "activity_lines": [ 23.618666, 23.487818, 24.914619, 25.777441 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 24.639999, "trend_reference": 26.944333, "distance_from_trend": -0.085522, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 29.988718, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.178358, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -12.504326, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.129021, "excess_performance": -0.085817, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.085522, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.055093, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.178358, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.187049, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.125043, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.070326, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.129021, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.14984, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 21519818, "relative_activity": 1.175202, "balance": 0.14984, "dry_up": 1.196313, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.113824, "annualized_volatility": 0.46019, "from_high_reference": -0.349525, "from_low_reference": 0.208436 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 26.944333, "fair_value_reference": 29.988718, "structural_low": 20.389999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.089608, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.058209, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.192469, "worst_return": -0.126079, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.062089, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.079497, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.323709, "worst_return": -0.149143, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.049714, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.030057, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.3014, "worst_return": -0.201972, "sufficient": false }, { 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30.07718, "relative_strength": -15.883695, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.423586, "energy": 29.069752, "activity_lines": [ 23.838, 23.617091, 25.478714, 26.252172 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 22.219999, "volume": 17945149, "typical_volume": 17775642.35, "trend": 27.031, "fair_value": 30.015256, "relative_strength": -19.587122, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.590026, "energy": 36.996707, "activity_lines": [ 23.351333, 23.264, 25.070762, 25.931699 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 24.639999, "volume": 21519818, "typical_volume": 18311596.7, "trend": 26.944333, "fair_value": 29.988718, "relative_strength": -12.504326, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.427106, "energy": 30.752993, "activity_lines": [ 23.618666, 23.487818, 24.914619, 25.777441 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }