{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d84d0ec9-64f1-4602-8492-a03996356349",
    "symbol": "PAASN",
    "name": "Pan American Silver Corp.",
    "exchange": "MEX",
    "country": "MX",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^MXX",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 54.964,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -64.912,
    "architecture_energy": 73.31,
    "architecture_maturity": 17.149,
    "architecture_confidence": 79.449,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 24.43,
        "rotation_up": 13.06,
        "upward_expansion": 16.45,
        "deceleration": 40.32,
        "rotation_down": 70.1,
        "downward_expansion": 89.78
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        790.839998,
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        911.613593
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 868.0,
    "trend_reference": 953.182127,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.089366,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 535.530755,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.620822,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 0.788464,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.086023,
    "excess_performance": -0.031356,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.089366,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.002797,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.620822,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.484579,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.007885,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.214824,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.086023,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.427645,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2315,
      "relative_activity": 2.5497,
      "balance": 0.427645,
      "dry_up": 0.928465,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.0735,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.655784,
      "from_high_reference": -0.264719,
      "from_low_reference": 0.639942
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 953.182127,
      "fair_value_reference": 535.530755,
      "structural_low": 735.5,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 19,
        "median_return": 0.000242,
        "positive_rate": 0.578947,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.210526,
        "median_excess_return": 0.031703,
        "regime_survival": 0.736842,
        "best_return": 0.311578,
        "worst_return": -0.120827,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": 0.018399,
        "regime_survival": 0.714286,
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        "worst_return": -0.277457,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.048618,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.119488,
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        "worst_return": -0.364452,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.300182,
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        "best_return": 1.135276,
        "worst_return": -0.348254,
        "sufficient": false
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        "color": "green",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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      {
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      },
      {
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        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-05-02",
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 2808.25,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "fair_value": 507.208621,
        "relative_strength": -1.569497,
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        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "stage": 3,
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        "energy": 62.748352,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 0,
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        "relative_strength": 6.209302,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Structural failure",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 522.540812,
        "relative_strength": -9.234093,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -86.727715,
        "energy": 84.013074,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 31,
        "typical_volume": 935.8,
        "trend": 969.518166,
        "fair_value": 525.603908,
        "relative_strength": -11.820583,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -84.612158,
        "energy": 87.19721,
        "activity_lines": [
          813.539998,
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          944.672876
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 765.0,
        "volume": 19,
        "typical_volume": 809.0,
        "trend": 961.995422,
        "fair_value": 528.82712,
        "relative_strength": -9.667366,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -73.204799,
        "energy": 85.195241,
        "activity_lines": [
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          900.200353,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 742.0,
        "volume": 1007,
        "typical_volume": 837.85,
        "trend": 955.905308,
        "fair_value": 531.775091,
        "relative_strength": -13.340976,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -74.189839,
        "energy": 89.273355,
        "activity_lines": [
          762.876664,
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          881.939824,
          917.284903
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 868.0,
        "volume": 2315,
        "typical_volume": 907.95,
        "trend": 953.182127,
        "fair_value": 535.530755,
        "relative_strength": 0.788464,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -64.912477,
        "energy": 73.309804,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}