{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d857edb9-87c6-4dbf-9ae2-3ab7d717ef50", "symbol": "IVP", "name": "IVP Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 46.877, "architecture_energy": 20.317, "architecture_maturity": 51.844, "architecture_confidence": 95.774, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.5, "rotation_up": 31.64, "upward_expansion": 55.7, "deceleration": 86.77, "rotation_down": 30.7, "downward_expansion": 21.7 }, "activity_lines": [ 158.505117, 158.58931, 158.588846, 153.61061 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 168.710007, "trend_reference": 148.01062, "distance_from_trend": 0.139851, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 177.804768, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.05115, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 10.574879, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.191455, "excess_performance": 0.235164, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.139851, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.003471, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.05115, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.06339, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.105749, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.079931, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.191455, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 6.21894, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 54138, "relative_activity": 0.628388, "balance": 6.21894, "dry_up": 0.366708, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.079159, "annualized_volatility": 0.367018, "from_high_reference": -0.125855, "from_low_reference": 0.533727 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 148.01062, "fair_value_reference": 177.804768, "structural_low": 110.0, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.050398, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.055044, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.125559, "worst_return": -0.238095, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.081338, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.2219, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.02774, "worst_return": -0.307359, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.035614, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.170919, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.33511, "worst_return": -0.161619, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"energy": 22.965615, "activity_lines": [ 160.386679, 162.638773, 156.035892, 151.12265 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 157.037415, "volume": 24370, "typical_volume": 86663.45, "trend": 147.204531, "fair_value": 177.861738, "relative_strength": 3.152419, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.875971, "energy": 21.370602, "activity_lines": [ 159.503253, 161.438331, 156.852177, 151.774702 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 149.522675, "volume": 24971, "typical_volume": 86541.65, "trend": 147.31862, "fair_value": 177.786007, "relative_strength": 0.991397, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 26.537731, "energy": 14.57878, "activity_lines": [ 156.271753, 158.881438, 156.856689, 151.924259 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 152.0, "volume": 22894, "typical_volume": 86164.25, "trend": 147.252953, "fair_value": 177.69916, "relative_strength": 0.333392, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.207262, "energy": 15.149461, "activity_lines": [ 154.402517, 156.993828, 156.987744, 152.226284 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 168.710007, "volume": 54138, "typical_volume": 86153.8, "trend": 148.01062, "fair_value": 177.804768, "relative_strength": 10.574879, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.87748, "energy": 20.316825, "activity_lines": [ 158.505117, 158.58931, 158.588846, 153.61061 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }